Week 1 Thursday Night Pick

Aaron Rodgers getting ready 

for the start of the football season

Italicized for win

Bolded for spread

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears (-3)  - While many are predicting a regression to the mean for Chicago the Bears were 12-4 and a missed field goal away from moving on past the Eagles in the playoffs. The Bears should also have a slightly more dynamic offense if rookie running back David Montgomerry Lives up to the hype. In this game against a division rival, they have homefield advantage which ultimately could be the difference.

It could take a week or two for things to come together for the Packers with their new coach Matt LeFleur.  While the Packers should run the ball more this season, Aaron Rodgers may look to pass the ball.  That being said, it will be interesting to see how the Packers look without Mike McCarthy.  Aaron Jones should have a good season given LaFleur's offense generally favor the run although this may be a bad game for him given the strength of the Bears rush defense.  This could be a low scoring affair which could hit the under of 46 points.

2019 Postseason Against the Spread: 5-5-1

2019 Postseason Straight Up: 5-6

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110