2020 NFL Week 12 Picks

Sunday

Miami Dolphins (-7) @ New York Jets - Dolphins will start Ryan Fitzpatrick as now Tua and Ahmed will be out along with Miles Gaskins.   

Arizona Cardinals (-1) @ New England Patriots -Both quarterbacks are rushing touchdown machines - Kyler Murray has 10 and Cam Newton has 9.  The Patriots road map to a win will be running the ball against a below average Cardinals rush defense.  The Cardinals with Hopkins and Kirk appear to have too many weapons for the Patriots to cover although the Pats did a nice job in slowing down Deshaun in their last game.  

Carolina Panthers (+4) @ Minnesota Vikings - The Panthers are below average against the run, but the Panthers could get it done with PJ Walker has a backup quarterback.  Plus the Vikings didn't look too sharp last week. 

Cleveland Browns (-7) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+7) - The Browns have a couple injuries to their top defensive players in defensive tackle Garrett and corner Denzel Ward. Still the Browns running game should propel the Browns over the hapless Jaguars who will now start Mike Glennon.

Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts (-3) - The Colts can take care of business if there offensive line dominates and protects Phillip Rivers from pressure against a below average defense.  The Colts defense has been one of the best in the league although they will have their work out of them against Derrick Henry who already has 1079 yards this season.  

New York Giants (-5.5)(LOCK) @ Cincinnati Bengals -  With Joe Burrows out and Joe Mixon, the Giants could capitalize with a division win. Sterling Shephard has 6 or more receptions in 4 straight games.   

Los Angeles Chargers (+5.5) @ Buffalo Bills -  Josh Herbert, the surprise rookie phenom, has been carrying the load offensively as the surprise rookie phenom- perhaps the Chargers would have been a playoff team if they hadn't suffered so many defensive injuries.  With John Brown, expect Josh Allen to get Steffon Diggs and Cole Beasley even more involved.  

Las Vegas Raiders (-3) @ Atlanta Falcons - With Julio Jones out, Matt Ryan has not been as effective.  Todd Gurley has a good opportunity against a below average pass defense but the Falcons offense could struggle.  Nelson Agholor has had touchdown in 5 of his past 7 games.  

San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams (-5.5) -  The 49ers running backs are returning including Raheem Mostert, Jeff Wilson, and Tevin Coleman.  Still, the 49ers could be rusty against a Rams team that is playing well on both sides of the football.  Robert Woods looked like a great number one receiver in last week's Monday night win against the Bucs.  

New Orleans Saints (-10)(LOCK) @ Denver Broncos - The Broncos will be without their top 3 quarterbacks due to the CoVid protocol.  Taysom Hill has looked reliable with the absence of Drew Brees by primarily targeting Michael Thomas.   

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) (LOCK) @ Tampa Buccaneers -  While this is a must win for the Bucs, the Chiefs have been playing extremely well.  It remains unclear if Brady can keep up the pace if the Chiefs can provide pressure. 

Chicago Bears (+9.5) @ Green Bay Packers - The Bears could keep it close enough if they can pick up their defense.  Also, Aaron Jones has not been as effective since his explosion against the Bears.  Mitchell Trubisky is a boom or bust player but I expect him to play better against a below average Packers defense.    

Monday

Seattle Seahawks (-6.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles - Seattle's defense appears to be playing better aned the Carson Wentz has been making incredibly dumb plays that have voided the Eagles oportunities of wins.  

Tuesday

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-5)(LOCK) -  If Lamar Jackson is out, this becomes a much tougher matchup for the Ravens who will start Robert Griffin.  RG3 is the last starting quarterback to beat the Ravens in what was a meaningless game for both teams.  

Week 12 Against the Spread- 1-1

Week 12 Straight Up- 1-1

2020 Against the Spread- 76-84-2

2020 Week Straight Up - 101-61-1

2020 Locks- 18-19-1

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103

2019 Locks - 21-19-2

2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3

2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7

2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

8.3.4

2020 NFL Thanksgiving Picks

Houston Texans (+2) @ Detroit Lions - The Lions were shut out last week as they do not look like the same team that beat the Washington Football team without DeAndre Swift and Kenny Golladay   The Texans offense have been on a roll offensively although they will be without David Johnson and Randall Cobb.  

Washington Football Team @ Dallas Cowboys (-1) - The winner of this game could win the division while the loser could get a top draft pick.  The Cowboys win last week was slightly more impressive while Washington was doing enough against Joe Burrows to make it competitive before he suffered a season ending injury.  Last game, the Cowboys gave virtually no time to Andy Dalton as he was forced to leave with an injury.  The Cowboys have been running the ball better with Elliott and CeeDee Lamb who dropped several passes in the last game has looked much better lately.  

Week 11 Against the Spread- 4-10

Week 11 Straight Up- 4-10

2020 Against the Spread- 75-83-2

2020 Week Straight Up - 100-60-1

2020 Locks- 18-19-1

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103

2019 Locks - 21-19-2

2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3

2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7

2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

8.5.5

2020 NFL Week 11 Picks

Tua looks to join Big Ben as the only QBs

in the last 40 years to win their first 4 starts as rookies

Sunday

Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5) @ Washington Football Team - Alex Smith has been airing it out fairly well recently although he has only thrown for one touchdown since being inserted as a starter.  Joe Burrows could still be effective in taking advantage of Washington's pass defense if he can avoid the pressure.  He has been the 5th most sacked quarterback this season.  While Antonio Gibson has been effective lately, the Bengals rushing defense has been more solid lately. 

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints (-3.5) - The New Orleans Saints have named Taysom Hill the starter which is a surprising development especially in the fantasy football community where Hill is eligible to start as tight end in ESPN leagues.  With the Falcons coming off a bye, look for them to air it out with Calvin Ridley coming back into the lineup.  Todd Gurley has been reliable out of the backfield although he goes against the Saints number 1 rushing defense.  

Pittsburgh Steelers(-10.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars - This is a 2018 rematch of the AFC playoff game.  Not much remains of that Jacksonville team who hasn't shown much since a week 1 opening win against the Colts.  The Steelers still remain undefeated and look to take advantage of a poor Jaguars defense.  James Robinson could be in a for a big game for the Jaguars who has gotten more pass catching work as a running back with Chris Thompson out with an injury.  

Green Bay Packers (+1.5) @ Indianapolis Colts -  Davante Adams and Allan Lazard are healthy which could allow the Packers to open the offense up more.  Phillip Rivers has utilized rookie wideout Michael Pitman effectively.  Naheem Hines will reportedly take a lion share of the carries over Jonathan Williams - although there is still a potential for the rookie Williams to get back into the rotation against a below average Packers rushing defense.   

New England Patriots (-2.5) @ Houston Texans  -  DeShaun Watson has played well since the firing of Bill O'Brien and only struggled against the Browns largely due to the wind.  The Patriots are still coming off a nice win against the Ravens where they have run the ball well.

Philadelphia Eagles (+2.5) @ Cleveland Browns  - Carson Wentz has really struggled this season although perhaps the Giants may have been a tough matchup .  The Browns have had trouble at times pressuring the quarterback and their defense could take a hit with the absence of Myles Garret in the lineup.  The Browns will still be powered by Nick Chubb who has a 15 yard rush every 10.5 plays which is the best in the NFL.  

Detroit Lions (-3) @ Carolina Panthers - Stafford is playing with an injured thumb and will be without his top wideout Kenny Golladay and best running back DeAndre Swift. The Panthers offense still has managed to get it going without Christian McCaffery and look  to take advantage of a below average Lions pass defense who nearly blew a 24 point lead to Washington.  The former XFL quarterback Walker gets the start instead of Bridgewater who is banged up with an injury.

Tennessee Titans (+6) @ Baltimore Ravens - Lamar Jackson has not been nearly as effective this season through the passing game as he was last season    The Titans defense has been below average .  Mark Ingram returns to the lineup; he's having a down year meaning it could make the Ravens running game worse.  Tannehill and Henry could do enough to keep this game close.

Miami Dolphins (-3.5)(LOCK) @ Denver Broncos - The Dolphins defense could do well against staring QB Brandon Locke who has been shaky this season.   Ahmed has been good at running the ball and Dolphins may choose to integrate Matt Breida back into the lineup.  

Los Angeles Chargers (-9.5) @ New York Jets  -  The Chargers have been competitive in a lot of games but lost several close games.  Herbert has been playing extremely well and that trend should continue against the Jets defense.  Joe Flacco has done a good job getting the passing game going.  T

Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings (-7)(LOCK) - The Dallas Cowboys are in contention for both a top 5 pick and a playoff spot.   Andy Dalton is coming back to the lineup but he still has syptoms from recovering from CoVid.   

Kansas City Chiefs (-8) @ Las Vegas Raiders - The Raiders did beat the Chiefs earlier this season.  The Chiefs could have been taking them lightly and the Raiders have been very inconsistent since.  

Monday

Los Angeles Rams (+4) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - The Rams could generate an effective passing rush which could slow down Brady.  The Bucs defense could also do enough to cause havoc.  Given that the Bucs have a slightly better receiving corps and running backs. they could still come up on top.  

Week 11 Against the Spread- 0-1

Week 11 Straight Up- 0-1

2020 Against the Spread- 71-74-2

2020 Week Straight Up - 96-51-1

2020 Locks- 18-17-1

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103

2019 Locks - 21-19-2

2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3

2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7

2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

8.3.4

2020 Week 11 Thursday Night Pick

 

Right after throwing the game winning Hail Mary
pass to Hopkins, Murray subsequently watched it 

on the jumbotron during the play

Arizona Cardinals (+3) @ Seattle Seahawks - In a toss up game between division rivals, the Cardinals look like the team with a better running game with Kenyan Drake returning and with Chris Carson out.  The Cardinals defense has also shown more resistance generally this season against the pass.  Russell Wilson has had two below average games in a row that may have taken him out of the MVP running although there is a good chance he could rebound.     

Week 10 Against the Spread- 6-7

Week 10 Straight Up- 9-5

Week 10 Locks - 1-2

2020 Against the Spread- 71-74-2

2020 Week Straight Up - 96-51-1

2020 Locks- 18-17-1

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103

2019 Locks - 21-19-2

2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3

2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7

2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

8.5.2

2020 Week 10 NFL Picks

For the first time in 728 days, Alex Smith will start an NFL Game.

Sunday

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5) - Burrows has looked great in every matchup except the Ravens and could do enough to cover here considering some injuries to the Steelers defense has left them shorthanded.  The windy weather could have an impact on this game which should favor the Steelers since the Bengals will be without Joe Mixon.  

Philadelphia Eagles (-5)(LOCK) @ New York Giants -  Wentz really struggled in his last matchup against the Giants although a couple of things will be in his favor.  There should not be 25 mile per hour winds blowing his passes away.  He will have a healthy Miles Sanders and Alshon Jeffrey back as well as a few offensive offensive linemen.  And he is coming off a bye.

The Giants in the meantime are coming off a nice win against Washington where Jones has secured 4 of his 5 career wins.  

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Green Bay Packers (-13.5) -  Everything appears to be rolling for the Packers again who really took care of business against the 49ers.  Will the Packers approach the game against the Jaguars with the same sense of urgency?  

And perhaps the Jaguars with Luton and Robinson may be a bit underrated offensively.  Still the Jaguars defense has been pretty awful for most of the season and have largely been inconsistent.

Washington Football Team @ Detroit Lions (-2.5) -  Washington's team has been edging closer to showing signs of being a competent team.  Unfortunately, Washington's passing game has still been showing questions.   

The running game for Washington should be interesting to monitor, the rookie Gibson is clearly a more explosive running back.  However, McKissic is the one that's in the game when Washington runs its two minute offense. 

The Lions in the meantime have struggled on both ends last week against the Vikings.  The Lions did actually beat the Cardinals who blew out Washington earlier this season.  It still remains to be seen which Lions team we see if Stafford being banged up with a concussion forces the Lions handand how the Lions will fare without Kenny Golladay.  

Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns (-4.5) -  Houston's defense has still made games way to interesting for opponents.  Mayfield returns and has seemed to play better in the absence of Odell Beckham.  The windy weather should favor the Browns who get Nick Chubb back into the lineup while the Texans will be without David Johnson for the foreseeable future.  

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-5.5)(LOCK) @ Carolina Panthers -  Tampa Bay has really been terrible against the Saints but great against every other opponent.  Like Tom Brady's last team, expect the Bucs to respond better coming off a loss that humiliating loss and have a favorable matchup with especially with the absence of Christian McCaffery.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Miami Dolphins (-2) -  Tua looked sharp against the Cardinals and has another favorable matchup against the Chargers defense.  Herbert could do enough to pull out a win and the Dolphins will now be without Gaskins and Preston Williams.  

Denver Broncos (+3.5) @ Las Vegas Raiders -The Denver Broncos have looked much better with Drew Locke under center.  While a large portion of his production has come at the end of games, at least one of those resulted in a win.  The Raiders have also been playing better and may have the formula to slow down the Broncos given that their defense is better than the both the Falcons and the Chargers.  

Buffalo Bills (-3) @ Arizona Cardinals - These are two of the highest rated statistical quarterbacks.  The Cardinals have a banged up secondary which could lead to John Brown having a big game. There is a roadmap for the Cardinals to make this close if they can slow down Allen like the Patriots did in week 8.  The Bills are already looking to improve upon their record of 2-0 against NFC West, one of the stronger division in the NFL.   

San Francisco 49ers @ New Orleans Saints (-9.5) - The 49ers appear to be getting back a few more of their pieces although they will still be without Deebo Samuels, George Kittle, Raheem Mostert, and Jimmy G.  The Saints have shown a propensity to keep lesser opponents in games except the Bucs.  Still one has to expect Michael Thomas to make the Saints extremely hard to slow down and should open up the rest of the offense.   

Seattle Seahawks (+2.5) @ Los Angeles Rams -  Everyone is pegging this as the Rams win.  That being said, this game is certainly in a toss up range.  Seattle would be a clear favorite to me if they were fully healthy but as is the case for most teams, they will be without starting running back Chris Carson.  The Rams could have an effective game plan to capitalize on the Seahawks lackluster defense although maybe they are due for a better performance against an Inconsistent Jared Goff who is very boom or bust player.  

Baltimore Ravens (-7)(LOCK) @ New England Patriots -The Ravens seems to take advantage of lesser teams and perhaps the Patriots are one of them.  Cam Newton did everything he could to win that game but were a play or two away from losing to the Jets.  Baltimore doesn't appear to be satisfied with a win against the Colts and will likely need a good defensive effort to complete a cover in this one.  Expect the Ravens to move the ball better on the ground against a weaker Patriots defense.  

Monday

Minnesota Vikings (-3) @ Chicago Bears - This is simply the Dalvin Cook show at this point.  The Bears are a weird team whose defense can keep in them in most games but if they don't their offense can't keep pace if the game gets out of hand.  Kirk Cousins could be susceptible to some mistakes but even then Cook has appeared to be great with back to back multi TD games.  An injury and even the Bears defense could slow him down who di well enough job on Derrick Henry but other than that the Viking appear to be the team on the up and up despite a worse record.  

Week 9 Against the Spread- 0-1

Week 9 Straight Up- 0-1

2020 Against the Spread- 65-68-2

2020 Week Straight Up - 87-47-1

2020 Locks- 17-15-1

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103

2019 Locks - 21-19-2

2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3

2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7

2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

8.5.2

Week 10 2020 Thursday Night Pick

Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans (+1) -  While the Titans 3-23 record looms large, most of that has happened against Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck.  The Titans have the better quarterback, the better running back, and and more explosive wide receivers players.  The Titans may lack the defensive pressure to slow down Phillip Rivers like the Ravens did last week and have yet to lose two games a row this season.   One would expect Derrick Henry to bounce back from a 68 yard performance as he hasn't been held under 100 yards for 2 consecutive weeks especially against a Colts defense coming off a short week.  

Week 9 Against the Spread- 5-9

Week 9 Straight Up- 11-3

Week 9 Locks- 1-2

2020 Against the Spread- 65-67-2

2020 Week Straight Up - 87-46-1

2020 Locks- 17-15-1

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103

2019 Locks - 21-19-2

2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3

2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7

2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

8.5.2

2020 NFL Week 9 NFL Picks

Sunday

New York Giants (+3) @ Washington Football Team - Washington is coming off a bye, has gotten key pieces back like Brandon Scherff and Chase Young.  They also haven't given up a defensive touchdown in their last 6 quarters of play.  The Giants in the meantime did push the Tampa Bay Bucs to the brink, almost forcing an overtime game if not for a missed 2 point conversion.  For now, I am leaning towards the Giants' defense slowing down Washington as they did against Tampa in what could be a close game.   

Chicago Bears (+6) @ Tennessee Titans - The Bears struggle against the run but still have given QBs trouble with their pass rush and could slow down Tanehill on play action.  The Titans' defense is significantly worse compared to the defenses the Bears have played lately, so perhaps Foles could play better.  

Detroit Lions (+4) @ Minnesota Vikings  - The Detroit Lions will be without Kenny Golladay so expect them to rely more on Marvin Jones and TJ Hockenson.  The Vikings will  feed Dalvin Cook who scored 4 touchdowns last week.  Their defense also look surprisingly feisty against the Packers

Carolina Panthers @ Kansas Chiefs (-10) - The Panthers have been frisky defensively although perhaps the weather favored them significantly against the Falcons.  Christian McCaffery is coming back.  That being said the Chiefs are still likely to expose the Panthers defense.  

Houston Texans (-6.5)  @ Jacksonville Jaguars - These are two of the worst teams in the league.  With Minshew out, the Texans could play better. 

Baltimore Ravens (+1) (LOCK) @ Indianapolis Colts - This could be a relatively low scoring.  I expect Lamar Jackson to bounce back from a poor showing last week.  The Ravens could pressure Phillip Rivers into some bad decisions.

Seattle Seahawks (-3) (LOCK)@ Buffalo Bills - The Bills defense has been a bit disappointing although perhaps they regressed just because they played a division rival.   This could be a relatively high scoring game.  Look For Seattle's offense to get going even without Chris Carson.

Denver Broncos (+4.5) @ Atlanta Falcons - Drew Locke could have a decent week against the Falcons who is coming off a nice win.  The Broncos are good against the run so look for Ryan to attack the Broncos through the air even without Calvin Ridley, Julio Jones could have a big week.  

Las Vegas Raiders (+1) @ Los Angeles Chargers - The Raiders have been playing well offensively and the Chargers have blown multiple 16 point game leads in a row.  

Pittsburgh Steelers (-14)(LOCK) @ Dallas Cowboys - The Dallas Cowboys due to injuries to Dak Presscott look to be one of the worst teams in the NFL while the Steelers seem to thrive in these games where they pick on lesser opponents. 

Miami Dolphins (+6) @ Arizona Cardinals - Both of those teams defenses have picked it up which has allowed them to be competitive.  With Gaskins out and Tua unproven, the Cardinals appear to be more explosive even with Kenyan Drake out although the Dolphins defense could do enough to keep it close.

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5) - In week 1 the Saints made struggle specifically Tom Brady who threw a pick six.  The Bucs could establish more of a running game in this one.  While the Bucs did struggle in the opener they are playing better.  The Saints do have Michael Thomas returning although the Bucs may also unlock Antonio Brown in his debut.    

Monday

New England Patriots (-7)(LOCK) @ New York Jets - The Patriots did struggle against the Bills but will likely take advantage of a Jets team that has been struggling immensely.   

Week 9 Against the Spread- 1-0

Week 9 Straight Up- 1-0

2020 Against the Spread- 61-58-2

2020 Week Straight Up - 77-43-1

2020 Locks- 16-13-1

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103

2019 Locks - 21-19-2

2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3

2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7

2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

8.3.4

2020 Week 9 Thursday Night NFL Pick

Green Bay Packers (-5.5) @ San Francisco 49ers - Aaron Jones makes his return from a calf injury.  The Packers rush defense has been called into question after giving up 4 touchdowns Dalvin Cook.  Of course, Dalvin Cook is a lot better theoretically rookie JaMychal Hasty.  And of the 49ers will be without George Kittle and Jimmy Garappolo.  For that matter will not have an offensive starting player suiting up from last year's team that made the Super Bowl.  

Can the Packers defense do enough to make Nick Mullens look silly like the Eagles did his last matchup?  Aaron Rodgers has had problems against this 49ers defense, then again it is missing several pieces.  

Week 8 against the Spread- 9-5

Week 8 Straight Up- 10-5

Week 8 Locks - 3-1

2020 Against the Spread- 61-58-2

2020 Week Straight Up - 77-43-1

2020 Locks- 16-13-1

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103

2019 Locks - 21-19-2

2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3

2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7

2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

8.5.2

2020 Week 8 NFL Picks

This sign was posted for the upcoming Bills/Pats Game

Sunday

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) @ Miami Dolphins - Tua makes his debut and the Dolphins are coming off the bye. Look for Ramsey to slow down Davante Parker.  Jared Goff may have trouble passing the ball deep so he may have to rely more upon Cooper Kupp in the slot. Whoever gets the carries between Malcolm Brown and is also due for a good game against a poor Dolphins running defense.  

Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals (+7) - Other than week 3 against the Ravens, Joe Burrows has done enough to keep games close.  Unfortunately for the Bengals they have not fared well defensively and the Titans are posed to put up a lot of points who played very well against the Steelers in teh 2nd half. 

New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs (-19.5) - 21 points is a lot of points, then again the Jets are pretty terrible and the Chiefs are very explosive. Bell goes against his former team and expect him to get redzone opportunities to exact revenge.   

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers(-5.5)  - Can you believe the Vikings were favored in week one?  That being said, the Vikings offense has been re-invigorated with Justin Jefferson back in the lineup.  Aaron Jones is also likely to be out again.  The Packers appear to have gotten back on track - while the Bucs did slow them down, the Vikings don't appear to have the defensive prowness to slow them down.  Mike Zimmer 1-18-1 outdoors against above .500 teams.  The windy weather favors the Vikings who have a better running game with Cook back. 

Indianapolis Colts (-3) @ Detroit Lions  - The Colts defense is still really good despite playing some bad QBs and they could be a little challenged down. Jonathan Taylor is facing one of the wort running defenses 

Las Vegas Raiders @ Cleveland Browns (-1.5) - The Browns looked better last week without Beckham. Based on the weather, this game game should be lower scoring than normal due to 25 mile per hour winds. Both teams have solid running games but for now I favor the Browns who have a slightly better defense. 

New England Patriots  @ Buffalo Bills (-4) - The Patriots haven't been underdogs against Buffalo in 20 years. Cam Newton needs to run well against a below average Bills defense but it should be a low scoring game. 

Los Angeles Chargers (-3)(LOCK) @ Denver - Herbert playing well in the past few weeks; this Broncos defense could provide a tougher tests.  The Broncos have trouble scoring without Cortland Sutton.  Justin Jackson is banged with a team already missing Austin Ekeler.   

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks (-1.5)(LOCK) - The 49ers will likely rely more on their passing game with multiple injuries to the running back position.  Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle could have big games. They have an opportunity to keep it close due the Seahawks poor defense.

New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears (+5) -  Michael Thomas is out again.  The Saints offense could struggle although they could pull it out against Nick Foles who lost his last game against the Saints in the 2019 playoffs.  

Pittsburgh Steelers (+4)(LOCK) @ Baltimore Ravens - The Ravens are great off of  a bye but Lamar Jackson hasn't been great.  Look for the Ravens to rely more upon JK Dobbins in this game especially since Edwards isn't a good passing back against the Steelers defense.  The Steelers appear fully loaded defensively.  The Steelers offense has a lot of options.  Big Ben has passed every test so far.  

Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles (-10.5)(LOCK) -  Dallas appears to be a mess offensively and will be without not only Dak Presscott but Andy Dalton and will also be playing with a patchwork offensive line.  The Eagles have keeping their opponents in games but often just do enough to pull off wins.  It would be a disappointing if the Eagles do not blow out this division rival. 

Monday

Tampa Buccaneers @ New York Giants (+12.5) - The Buccaneers defense has been playing well lately.  If the Giants are unable to generate a pass rush it could be more trouble for them as Brady threw for 5 touchdowns last week.  Chris Godwin is out so look for Mike Evans, Rob Gronkowski, and Scotty Miller to get involved.  Leonard Fournette appears to easing himself into a bigger role over Ronald Jones.  

2020 Week 8 against the Spread- 1-0

2020 Week 8 Straight Up- 1-0

2020 Against the Spread- 53-53-2

2020 Week Straight Up - 67-38-1

2020 Locks- 13-12-1

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103

2019 Locks - 21-19-2

2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3

2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7

2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

8.3.4