Sunday, October 25, 2020

2020 NFL Week 7 Picks


Ryan Fitzpatrick: "I basically got fired yesterday and my day
today consisted of zoom meetings with the guy who fired me and sitting
in a room with the guy who replaced me for four hours."

Italicized for win

Bolded for spread

Sunday

Dallas Cowboys (-1) @ Washington Football Team -  Dallas is coming off a terrible performance Monday Night against the Cardinals 38-10; granted Washington also lost to the Cardinals 30-15 that didn't feel much closer.  Washington defense did shut out the Giants in the 2nd half- granted that didn't stop Kyle Allen losing his 9th game in a row as a starter.  Perhaps people may say the loser should fire their head coach but frankly these teams may just be considered rebuilding teams for any imminent action to follow.  I suspect Andy Dalton will bounce back and Ezekiel Elliot could still have a good game despite Dallas's offensive line injuries and Washington's defensive front.  Dallas should have plenty of opportunities to exploit Washington's weak secondary but of course they have to give Dalton enough time.     

Buffalo Bills (-10) (LOCK) @ New York Jets - The Bills are coming off two losses against two division leaders.  With Jamison Crowder out, it is going to be tough for the Jets to put up points with Joe Flaco and Frank Gore starting.    

Carolina Panthers (+7)(LOCK) @ New Orleans Saints - The Saints are going to be without Michael Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders.  Carolina is coming off a disappointing lose to the Bears where DJ Moore dropped the ball in the end zone.  Terry Bridgewater has a chance to stick it against his former team.  Kamara could still have a big day on the ground and the Saints always do seem to do enough at the end of games to pull them out.    

Los Angeles Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5) - The Chargers are coming off a bye which could favor them against the Jaguars who have lost 5 straight games after winning their opening game.  The Chargers have had one of the toughest schedules, losing 4 games t above average teams.  While there is talk of benching Minshew, the Jaguars offense still has potential to play better as DJ Chark gets re-integrated back into the lineup  

Green Bay Packers @ Houston Texans (+3) - The Packers are coming off a big blow out loss while the Texans lost a relatively close game to the Titans in overtime.  While the Texans rush defense is horrendous, the Packers are likely to be without lead rusher Aaron Jones which could lead to problems for the Packers in the redzone.  

Cleveland Browns (-3)(LOCK) @ Cincinnati Bengals - The Browns and Bengals had a surprisingly close Thursday Night game where Beckham broke out.  Burrows threw over 60 times and the Bengals only covered after a TD catch at the end of regulation.  While the Bengals are playing well offensively, they will be without Joe Mixon although Giovanni Bernard has had effective games.  Tee Higgins has been averaging 20% of the targets for Burrows since week 5.  The Bengals defense is still well below average.    

Pittsburgh Steelers  @ Tennessee Titans (-1.5) - Derrick Henry had a great game coming off the Titans quarantine and looks to exploit a pretty stout Steelers defense who going to be without their best defensive player Devin Bush.  Claypool already has 2 rushing touchdowns this season.  

Detroit Lions @ Atlanta Falcons (-1) - These are two bad defenses although perhaps the Falcons may receive a boost from promoting Raheem Morris to head coach.  The Lions looked sharp last week against the Jaguars- Kenny Golladay could have a big game and DeAndre Swift was effective last week scoring 4 touchdowns.  

San Francisco 49ers @ New England Patriots (-2.5) - Jimmy G goes against his former team while this is a must win game for the Patriots.  The 49ers defense looks better with Mosley back.  The 49ers running game still appears to be a mess without Mostert.  

Kansas City Chiefs (-7) @ Denver Broncos - The Broncos are coming off a nice win against the Pats.  Patrick Mahomes has never lost to the Broncos.  This could be a game where the Broncos struggle to score; Tim Patrick looks for his 3rd straight 100+ yard receiving game.  

Tampa Buccaneers (-4) @ Las Vegas Raiders -  This could be a game where Tampa's defensive front controls the game although the Raiders have looked sharp with wins against the Saints and Chiefs.  

Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) @ Arizona Cardinals - This should be a very high scoring game although  Arizona's defense played much better against the Cowboys compared to games earlier in the season against the Panthers and the Lions.  Seattle is still coming off a bye week as their offensive is still very explosive.  

Monday

Chicago Bears(+6)(LOCK)  @ Los Angeles Rams - The Bears look good defensively with good wins against the Bucs and Panthers.  Look for the Rams to bounce back after a bad loss to the 49ers - although perhaps the Rams are a bit overrated here since there only wins are all against the NFC East this season.  Nick Foles is already 2-0 against the Rams since he was a starting quarterback although he hasn't exactly looked great.  Still, the Bears defense could give the Rams fits.  


2020 Week 7 against the Spread- 0-1
2020 Week 7 Straight up- 1-0
2020 Against the Spread- 49-42-2
2020 Week Straight Up - 60`-31-1
2020 Locks- 11-10-1

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

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