Sunday, October 4, 2020

2020 Week 4 NFL Picks

The Washington Football Team surprised Ron Rivera with
his own corners of fans including his dogs


Italicized for win

Bolded for spread

Sunday

Baltimore Ravens (-14)(LOCK) @ Washington Football Team - Washington's defense has struggle against the run this season meaning Ingram and Dobbins could have big games along with Lamar Jackson.  The Ravens are angry coming off blowout loss and look to beat the Football Team for the first time since 2008.  Haskins could get benched if he struggles again which could improve Washington's ability to be competitive.   

Los Angeles Chargers (+7) @ Tampa Buccaneers -  With Chris Godwin and Leonard Fournette out, perhaps the Chargers can do enough to keep it close.  That being said, it could be rough for the Chargers offensively especially since the Bucs are strong against the run.   

Seattle Seahawks (-4.5) @ Miami Dolphins - This could be a high scoring game. The Seahawks have struggled defending the pass, while the Dolphins have been successful airing it out.  Fitzpatrick usually is not consistent although he has had more time to prepare for this game.    

Minnesota Vikings (+3.5) @ Houston Texans -  Both the Texans and the Vikings have had tough schedules as both teams combined opponents so far are 8-1. DeShaun Watson is certainly a better quarterback that Cousins and the Texans do have a stronger defense.  That being said, the Vikings do have a better running game with Dalvin Cook and better pass catching targets with Thielen and Jefferson.  This is another game where the Texans miss DeAndre Hopkins.    

New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions (+3) - The Lions should compete in this one with a healthy Kelly Golladay while the Saints still may need to get it going.  Without Michael Thomas, the Saints have not been as explosive although Kamara is more than capable to makeup for the limitations of Drew Brees.

Cleveland Browns @ Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) - The Browns actually did not play that well against Washington and were bailed out a bit when Haskins stared down receivers leading to interceptions.    The Cowboys spread out receivers.  Beckham could have a big week against a weak Cowboys secondary although Mayfield has not played as well Matt Ryan or Russell Wilson this season.      

Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals - Joe Burrow and Gardner Minshew battle in what should be a battle of two below average defenses.  DJ Chark does improve the Jaguars offense dramatically. 

Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) @ Chicago Bears - Nick Foles came in and did lead the Bears to comeback victory.  He should target the slot receive Anthony Miller.  That being said, the Colts could exploit Foles weaknesses who did struggle with the Jaguars last season.

Arizona Cardinals (-3)(LOCK) @ Carolina Panthers -  DeAndre Hopkins is likely to suit up in this one. Kenyan Drake could improve his offensive game against a below average Panthers run defense.  DJ Moore has struggled this season for the Panthers who will likely be covered by Patrick Peterson.

New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams (-13.5)(LOCK) - Rams coming off a loss where they actually overcame a 28-3 deficit. Henderson ran fairly well against a strong Bills defense and that trend should continue against a Giants team that has struggled to defend the running game all season.  

Buffalo Bills (-3)(LOCK) @ Las Vegas Raiders -  Singletary could have a big week if Zach Moss doesn't play.  The Raiders defense was terrible last week against the Patriots.    

Philadelphia Eagles (+9) @ San Francisco 49ers-  The NFC West is clearly the superior division with every team above .500 while every team below .500 in the NFC East.  That being said, the Eagles have a roadmap to make this game competitive against a 49ers team that is dealing with a ton of injuries.    

Monday

Atlanta Falcons (+7) @ Green Bay Packers  -  With Adams and Lazard out, the Falcons have an opportunity to keep this game close especially with the likely return of Julio Jones to the lineup.    

New England Patriots (+11) @ Kansas City Chiefs -  Assuming this game still happens, the Chiefs should clearly have an advantage if Cam Newton is not playing.  The Patriots could draw up a good defensive scheme to slow down Patrick Mahomes but even then, it likely will not be enough for a Chiefs team that is motivated to clinch a first week bye in the playoffs.  

2020 Week 4 against the Spread- 1-0
2020 Week 4 Straight up- 1-0
2020 Against the Spread- 29-20
2020 Week Straight Up - 35-13-1
2020 Locks- 9-3

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 

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