Sunday, November 4, 2018

Week 9 Picks



Italicized for win
Bolded for spread







Kansas Chiefs (-8.5) @ Cleveland Browns- The Browns dismissed head coach  Hue Jackson and they also fired their offensive coordinator Todd Haley.  Gregg Williams makes his head coaching debut who was formerly the defensive coordinator for the Redskins but also was the defensive coordinator when Bountygate happenned in New Orleans where he was fired.  Theoretically the Browns could get a boost from firing their coach.  Cleveland has lead the league with 22 takeaways.  Andy Reid is 6-0 all time against the Browns, the only other teams he hasn't lost to are the teams he has coached; the Eagles and the Chiefs.  The Chiefs in the meantime look to pressure the Browns who have allowed the most sacks in the league at 33.  




New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins (-3) - The Dolphins already beat the Jets by double digits.  But that was when Ryan Tannehill was the quarterback and wide receivers Kenny Stills and Albert Wilson were healthy.  The Dolphins will now have to rely upon Brock Osweiler who threw for over 300 yards against the Bears but struggled against the Broncos.  The extra time coming off a Thursday Night game and playing at home against a rookie quarterback could give the Dolphins the edge.









Chicago Bears (-10) @ Buffalo Bills - Nathan Peterman makes his return to the starting lineup with Derek Anderson out with a concussion.  Mitchell Trubisky is the only quarterback since 1960 to throw for 2 plus passing touchdowns, 200+ passing yards, and 40+ yards in 4 consecutive games.   

 Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) @ Baltimore Ravens  - This game is a toss up. While the Ravens beat the Steelers fairly easily on the road earlier in the season, the Ravens have struggled defensively against Carolina.  Plus Pittsburgh looked fairly sharp last week, granted it was against a weak Browns team, so much so that the Browns fired their coach and offensive coordinator.  

 LA Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks (-1.5) - Russel Wilson has 16 touchdowns and 4 interceptions so far this season.  While the Chargers may be the a top notch NFL team, the Seahawks will look to get their running game going as their offensive line has improved since firing offensive line coach Tom Cable.  Chargers running back Melvin Gordon is also questionable for the game.

 Detroit Lions (+4.5) @ Minnesota Vikings  - Both teams laid eggs last week.  The Vikings are 1-3 against the spread at home including a weird loss to the Buffalo Bills while the Lions are 2-1.  The Lions did trade Golden Tate.  That being said the Lions have won their last two matchups against the Vikings so this could be a close game down the stretch.  




Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Redskins (-2) - Washington somehow put together a 3 game winning streak despite not scoring for more tan 24 points in the season.  The Falcons are coming off a bye; that being said their defense, having given up an average of 34 points in the past 4 weeks but do have the number one passing offense.  







Tampa Bay Bucanneers (+6.5) @ Carolina Panthers - Fitzpatrick makes his return to the starting quarberback after a great performance to tie the game against the Bengals.  While the Panthers have dominated at home against the Ravens, they usually keep their games close like they did against the Giants, Eagles, and Redskins.  




LA Rams(+1) @ New Orleans Saints -  The Rams pulled out a close win against Green Bay while the Saints beat the Vikings by double digits despite Drew Brees throwing for 120 yards, his lowest passing total as a Saint but mostly because the the Vikings were turnover prone ad the Saints have an excellent running game were able to score 30 points.   While the Saints could easily win this one, the Rams may come out on top because they have a better defense and I expect the Rams to play at another gear going against a potential NFC conference contender in what could decide homefield.  

 Houston Texans (+1) @ Denver Broncos - Demaryus Thomas was just traded from the Broncos to Texans.  He looks to become the 2nd receiver in NFL history to score a touchdown against his former team in the same season.  

Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots (-6) LOCK - Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady play for the 2nd time.  Rodgers did keep the Rams game close and could have potentially won the game down the stretch.  That being said, their seemed to be more Packer fans in the stadium.  



Tennessee Titans (+6) @ Dallas Cowboys - Amari Cooper makes his debut and could make the Cowboys ofense ore interesting.  That being said, the Titans like the Cowboys are also coming off a bye, and their defense could slow down the Cowboys offense which could make the game relatively close down the stretch.  

 Week 9 Against the Spread: 0-1
Week 9 Straight Up: 0-1

2018 Season against the Spread- 53-51-3
2018 Season Straight Up- 57-37-2
2018 Locks- 9-7-1

2017-18 Against the Spread- 221-225-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110   
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