Sunday, November 11, 2018

Week 10 NFL Picks

Detroit Lions (+6.5) @ Chicago Bears  -  The Lions gave up 11 sacks last week in a loss to the Vikings.  Khalil Mack and Allen Robinson practiced this week and will likely play.  Mitch Trubisky looks to win his first division game in 7 starts.






New Orleans Saints (-5.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals  - Saints are in a letdown spot.  The Bengals are coming off a bye. Newly out Dez Bryant is out with an Achiles injury. That being said, AJ Green is out which severely limits the explosiveness of their offense. 

Atlanta Falcons (-4) at Cleveland Browns - The Falcons picked up Bruce Irvin from the Raiders.  The Falcons offense looked unstoppable against Washington and look to get its 2nd consecutive road win. 

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) @ Indianapolis Colts - A must win for both teams who are both coming off byes.  Leonard Fournette is coming back off a hamstring injury. 

Arizona Cardinals @ Kansas City Chiefs (-16) - The Chiefs typically win games by this margin at home and the Cardinals appear to be one of the worst teams in the league and could struggle even coming off a bye. 




Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets(-6.5)  - Matt Barkley will start over Nathan Peterman which could mean a slight upgrade for the Bills but probably not enough for them to beat the Jets who will start Josh McCown. 

Washington Redskins @ Tampa Buccaneers (-1.5) - Washington goes on the road after a loss. Typically Fitzpatrick has regressed in his 3rd start and this could be the week.  Otherwise Washington's playoff hopes could take a hit who cannot score.  Oddly enough, there have not been any lead changes for Washington this season so it would be in their best interest to score first.  The Redskins offensive line injuries make me reluctant to pick them here. 

New England Patriots @ Tennessee Titans (+7) - The Titans could keep it close after an impressive win against Dallas.  Vrabel the head coach used to play with the Patriots and also has former Patriots Dion Lewis and Malcolm Butler. 

Los Angeles Chargers (-10) @ Oakland Raiders - It looks like the Raiders have decided to tank after that performance against the 49ers but could show up in a division rival.  Even then, the Chargers beat the Raiders by 16 points earlier this season. 

Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers (-9) -  Aaron Rodgers is dissatisfied with how vanilla the offense is according to Mike Lombardi of The Athletic.   Brock Osweiler and the Dolphins might give the Packers a few scores.  Packers look to bounce back after facing the Rams and Patriots.

Seattle Seahawks (+10) @ Los Angeles Rams - The Rams should bounce back after a loss to the Saints in order to keep pace with the New Orleans Saints.  That being said, the Seahawks have to approach this game as a must win game to stay alive in the postseason   The Seahawks only lost their first game to Rams by 2 points.

Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles (-7)[LOCK] - The Eagles are coming off a bye and will look to utilize newly acquired Golden Tate.  Sean Lee is out for 4 weeks. 

New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers (-3) - Nick Mullens looks to win his 2nd primetime game in his 2nd week. 

Week 10 Against the Spread: 1-0
Week 10 Straight Up: 1-0

2018 Season against the Spread- 61-56-3
2018 Season Straight Up- 65-42-2
2018 Locks- 10-7-1

2017-18 Against the Spread- 221-225-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110   

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