Indianapolis Colts @ Buffalo Bills (-6.5) - The Buffalo Bills are playing some of the best football in recent weeks. While the Colts have been solid over the last few weeks, they are at a disadvantage playing outdoors against Buffalo. Phillip Rivers at this stage of his career is unreliable. Jonathan Taylor could get it going against the Bills run defense but it could be tough to contain the Bills high octane offense.
Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks (-3)- The roadmap for the Rams to win this game is to use a ball control offense with Cam Akers against a relatively poor Seattle defense. That being said, the Seahawks still have Russell Wilson who should do enough against an Aaron Donald led Rams defense.
Tampa Buccaneers @ Washington Football Team (-9) - Washington has the pass rush to get to Brady who has struggled against above average defense including
- 20-19 loss to the Bears
- 25-23 win against the Giants
- 27-24 loss against the Rams
- 27-24 loss against the Chiefs
Tampa's recent wins against the Vikings, Falcons, and Lions over weeks 14-17 have not addressed the concern that the Brady can operate well against teams that provide him pressure.
That being said, Washington's offense isn't exactly a juggernaut and do need to keep Tampa's offense off the field to provide themselves with a chance of victory. With Alex Smith's calf injury acting up, the Football Team may go to Taylor Heinekie who compiled a great stat line against the Panthers but was accrued against a Panthers team playing a prevent defense. Still, Smith struggled a lot with 2 interceptions against the Eagles in the 2nd half and even had trouble handing off the football. Running back Antonio Gibson and wide out Terry McLaurin are both banged up but could provide a much needed spark.
The last two home team underdogs that were 8 point underdogs have won including the Seattle Seahawks lead by Marshawn Lynch and the Tim Tebow's Broncos against the Steelers. It may be hard for Washington to pull out a victory but the homefield in Washington with Chase Young leading the defensive front could be enough to at least make this game competitive.
Baltimore Ravens (-3) @ Tennessee Titans - This is a more winnable game for the Ravens. While the Ravens lost earlier in the season in OT, the Ravens were up 21-10 before Lamar Jackson threw a better pass. Lamar has looked better over the last 4 weeks since coming off of Covid. Plus JK Dobbins could get it going against a below average Titans defense. The Ravens do need to bottle up Henry or they could be in trouble
Chicago Bears (+10) @ New Orleans Saints - While Sean Payton should have an excellent game plan, the Bears have been no slouches in recent weeks. David Montgomery has hit it into gear recently plus the Bears offense has been competent in recent weeks other than the Green Bay Packers who routinely take care of their division rival. The Bears did manage to take the Saints to overtime earlier in the season and the Bears didn't even play that well with Nick Foles under center. Of course, Trubisky being as inconsistent as he is makes this a nerve racking proposition to complete the upset.
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-6) - The Steelers are one of those teams that matchup really well against the Browns given that they can slow down the run. The Browns will also be without their head coach Stefanski. The Steelers just seem to have the Browns number.
Week 17 Against the Spread- 7-9
Week 17 Straight-Up- 13-3
Week 17 Locks - 1-2
2020 Against the Spread- 117-134-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 163-94-1
2020 Locks- 23-24-2
8.5.5
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