Sunday, January 24, 2021

Conference Championship Picks


Most offensive turnovers forced this season:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 30
Fewest offensive turnovers this season:
Green Bay Packers - 9(via PFF)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Green Bay Packers (-3) - While the Bucs did a good job containing Drew Brees last week, the Packers offense presents different challenges.  Aaron Rodgers simply exploited a Rams defense that had shut down Russell Wilson the previous week.   

Tom Brady has had several clutch playoff performances and it would be nice to see it do it without Billi.  That being said, he looked fairly ordinary against the Saints.   Brady is more than capable of playing lights though but he needs guys like Chris Godwin to step up especially with the absence of Antonio Brown.  

The Packers key to victory will be slowing down Fournette while getting Aaron Jones going against a stout Tampa Bay run defense.   No team has seemed to contain Davante Adams either including Jalen Ramsey last week. 


 Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs (-3) - The Chiefs and Bills actually played in the playoffs in 1993 when Joe Montana was at the helm as the Bills made it on their way to the 4th super bowl.  The Chiefs are the team with the more established quarterback and playing in his 3rd straight conference championships.  There are concerns for Mahomes though is not only coming off a concussion but also playing with turf toe.  Still, it looks like the Chiefs can exploit the Bills defense enough and Josh Allen has come back a little back to earth against the Ravens although the windy conditions did play a role. 




Divisional- Against the Spread- 4-0
Divisional Straight-Up- 4-0


2021 Playoffs Against the Spread- 6-4 
2021 Playoffs Straight Up- 9-1
2020 Against the Spread- 123-138-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 172-95-1
2020 Locks- 24-24-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

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