Thursday, December 22, 2016

Week 16 Picks

My picks and my thoughts on the Wizards can also be found on Sports on the Hill at 14 min 06  sec mark.  My most up to date picks can be found here.


Head coach Ben McAdoo was fined for using a walkie-talkie

New York Giants (+1) @ Philadelphia -




  Philadelphia did play the Ravens close and return home, and it's a division rivalry game that favors the home team.  Still, the Giants defense has playing out of its mind over the past 9 weeks and the Eagles offense has been questionable especially since they have failed to log a win against a division opponent.  

Atlanta (-2.5) @ Carolina -



Julio Jones had 300 yards last time.  While it is a rivalry game, the Falcons are the superior offensive team.  The Panthers looked much better against Washington although they will likely be without Luc Keachly again.

Miami(+3.5) @ Buffalo -



Miami did come away with a win in cold weather conditions against the Jets and look to continue the trend.  The only team the Bills have beaten with a winning record is the 12-2 New England Patriots who were without Tom Brady.

Washington (-3) @ Chicago -



The Bears have lost 3 consecutive games by 3 points but all to division rivals.   Washington really needs this game although it could be tough.  Alshon Jeffery is back and Matt Barkely has been playing well.  A potential trap game for Washington, but they are still playing for a playoff birth.  

New York Jets @ New England (-16.5) - The Jets look like they are falling apart after a big loss to the Dolphins where the Patriots appear to be finding their rhythm.  New England will try to make up for a poor performance when they beat the Jets by less than a touchdown.  

San Diego (-5.5) @ Cleveland - San Diego kept it close against a Raiders team.  Nobody wants to lose to the Browns.  RG3 did beat the Chargers back in 2013 in OT.

Tennessee (5) @ Jacksonville - 

The Titans look to run the ball to victory like they did against Kansas City.

Brian Orakpo, who was just named to the pro bowl, leads the Titans defense 


Minnesota @ Green Bay (-6.5) -

 Rodgers and the Packers appear to found their stride.  The Vikings in the meantime are 2-7 after starting the season 5-0.

Indianapolis (+4) @ Oakland - While the Raiders are slight favorites at home, the Colts could keep it close given that their impressive road wins including against Pittsburgh and Green Bay.  

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans (-2) - New Orleans appears to have found its offensive bearings against the Cardinals and look to play spoiler in this one against the Bucaneers.  

San Francisco @ LA  (-3.5) -

In a battle of terrible teams, the Rams are at home and look to finally get Todd Gurley going.

Arizona (+8.5) @ Seattle - Arizona and Seattle re-match after a 6-6 tie- somehow both teams are playing better offensively.  Seattle does play much better at home although it could remain close because it is a division rivalry.

Cincinatti @ Houston (-1) -




Marvin Lewis now 8-22 against the Steelers all-time and have 9,479 days since their last playoff win.  Houston looks like a better team with Tom Savage and looks to utilize DeAndre Hopkins more against the Bengals defense.


Baltimore @ Pittsburgh (-5.5) - Big Ben and the Steelers look like a stronger team especially since the Ravens barely beat an Eagles.  This is a division game and the Ravens did beat the Steelers earlier this season.  Still, Big Ben looks much healthier since the first meeting but it is a division game.

Denver @ Kansas City (-4) - Both teams had disappointing losses.  Denver needs to keep its playoff hopes alive but their o-line has been sub-par and also have decided to shut down CJ Anderson.  

Detroit(+7) @ Dallas - Both teams are playing for a division title.  While the Lions are dealing with their share of injuries, the Lions could keep it within a touchdown against Dallas.

Last week against the spread: 8-8
Last week straight up: 12-4 
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