Thursday, December 8, 2016

Week 14 Picks

My picks can also be found on the Sports on the Hill Podcast which is found at the 1h:43min mark. (My most up to date picks can be found here.)

Kansas City already beat Oakland 26-10 earlier this season.  

Oakland @ Kansas City (- 3) - 



Oakland had a sub-par effort against Buffalo and pulled it out lately while Chiefs with a close win against the Falcons.  It is still a rivalry game but the short week usually favors the home team.

Pittsburgh (-2) @ Buffalo - The Steelers are  are coming off an impressive double digit victory against the Giants while the Bills blew a double digit lead against the Raiders.   While Pittsburgh did beat the Giants at home, their road wins as of late include the Browns and the Colts without Andrew Luck. While the Steelers have laid eggs on the road, they have also come up big against teams like Washington.

San Diego @ Carolina (-1.5) - Both teams are coming off losses.  Luke Kuechly looks like he will be back which could be enough for the Panthers to slow down San Diego.

Cincinnati (-5.5) @ Cleveland-  The Bengals defense appears to have woken up against the Eagles and will look to feast on the Browns who are coming off a bye.  RG3 is coming back who lost to the Bengals in his rookie season.

Chicago(+8) @ Detroit- The Lions are playing good ball although the Bears did beat the Lions in OT earlier this season. That being said, Stafford and the Lions should still come away with a win but it could still a close game.

Houston (+6) @ Indianapolis - The Colts are the early favorites given that they have a stronger passing game and they are at home. But it could be a close game because they are division rivals.

Minnesota (-3) @ Jacksonville- After losing a game to the Cowboys due to some questionable officiating, the Vikings get a gift on the schedule. Coach Zimmer returns from surgery; the Jaguars are hoping Gus Bradley gets fired after losing a winnable game.

Arizona (+1) @ Miami - Arizona looks like the slight favorites here after putting together a solid performance.  The key for them will be to force timely turnovers against the Dolphins  and giving the ball to David Johnson, who had 175 all purpose yards against Washington.  The Redskins certainly regret taking Matt Jones over David Johnson in the 2015 NFL Draft.

Washington (-1) @ Philadelphia- Consider Washington the slight favorites although they will have to bring their A game even if the Eagles are struggling.  The Eagles have only lost one home game all year, and Cousins looked shaky last week against Arizona.  Still, Trent Williams returns and hopefully the game does not come down to a goal line fade.

Denver (+1) @ Tennessee - While the Titans are coming off a bye, Denver should be playing desperately if they want to make the playoffs

NY Jets (+2.5) @ SF - This might be the 49ers best chance at a win since week 1, although they struggled immensely against the Bears and the Jets are more than capable of beating the 49ers with superior wide receivers and a better running game.

New Orleans @ Tampa Bay (-2.5)- Tampa Bay passing game with Evans and Brate has helped Winston get it going. The Saints on the road aren't as good at home who just lost to the Lions.

Seattle @ Green Bay (+3)-



Weather could be a factor, still the Seattle showed it can beat a team like the Packers who have struggled to generate a pass rush.  Still, expect a close game that could go either way especially with Earl Thomas out.  This may be one of the best rivalries in the NFL.

Atlanta (-6) @ LA Rams - Atlanta looks to add another win against a n anemic Rams' offense.

Dallas (-3) @ NY Giants -  Look for the Cowboys to play hard against the Giants considering they are the only team that beat this year.

 Baltimore (+7.5) @ New England  - Ravens pulled in a great performance against the Dolphins.  It could be potentially a good game and the Ravens should keep it close especially since Gronk is out. I'm picking the Patriots to come away in a toss up game.

Last week against the spread: 9-6
Last week straight up: 9-6
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