Week 10 Picks

My picks can also be found on the Sports on the Hill Podcast which is found at the 1h:42min 45 sec mark.

Cleveland @ Baltimore (-7.5) -

Despite using 7 different QBs since his final start,
Johnny Manziel is still the last Cleveland Browns qb to win a game.

Baltimore is coming off an impressive win.  Cleveland is struggling because they are shorthanded.  A short week has typically been advantageous to the home team.

Kansas City (-2.5) @ Carolina - Consider the Chiefs favorites here given there impressive road wins.  The Panthers have won 2 straight but questions still remain about their offense which only mustered 13 points against the Rams.

Denver @ New Orleans (-3) - Saints have homefield while the Broncos offense has struggled lately.  

LA Rams @ NY Jets (-1.5) - Jets at home.  Rams on the road, both have week QBs, the jets have more offensive weapons, (Forte, Marshall) especially if Gurley is questionable to play.  

Aaron Rodgers calls out teammates; says squirrel was more exciting that the Packers

Green Bay (-2.5) @ Tennessee- Packers are coming off a disappointing loss. The Titans offense is playing well, could be a 1 score game but look for the Packers to respond with a win.

Atlanta (-2) @ Philadelphia -

Only three QBs have had a 120+ passer rating 3+ times this season: Matt Stafford (3 in 8 games), Matt Ryan (3 in 8), and Tom Brady (4 in 4).

— r/patriots (@rslashpatriots) October 31, 2016

Atlanta's wideouts might be too much for the eagles secondary. The eagles offense has not done a good job protecting Wentz since the suspension of Lane Johnson.  

Minnesota @ Washington (-2.5) - Washington is coming off a bye but will be without Trent Williams.   Minnesota is struggling as Sam Bradford has reverted to the mean.

Houston (+1.5) @ Jacksonville- Houston is the slight favorites coming off a bye and given how inconsistent the Jaguars offense has been.

Dallas @ Pittsburgh (-2.5) - Assuming the Big Ben can shake off the rust that he showed against the ravens, the Steelers have a good chance to upset the Cowboys given their ability to stop the run. It will be critical for the Steelers to force some turnovers.

Chicago (-1.5) @ Tampa Bay - Chicago is coming off a bye and has a number of young offensive weapons (Howard/Meredith) to pair with Cutler.  Tampa is struggling due to injuries to running backs and defense as well as inconsistent play by Winston.

Miami (+4.5) @ San Diego - San Diego with Rivers should exploit Miami's defense.  The Dolphins could be due for a letdown after a win but could keep it close.

San Francisco (+13.5) @ Arizona - Arizona is coming off a bye and the 49ers with Kapernick are still struggling.  Still, the 49ers could keep it close against the offensively challenged Cardinals.

Seattle @ New England (-7.5) - Tom Brady looks to get revenge against Seattle who beat new England back in 2013.  The Seahawks offense has been too inconsistent. 

Cincinnati @ New York Giants - Both have strong wide receivers.  Neither defense has been great.  The Bengals boast a better running game, offensive line and are coming off a bye week.  it will ultimately come down to which QB, Dalton or Manning have less mental errors.

Last week against the spread- 8-4-1
Last week straight up- 9-4