Thursday, September 26, 2024

2024 Week 4 Picks

Jayden Daniels and Joe Burrow lead their teams without a TD or turnover.  This was the first time since 1940 that both teams did that.

 

Dallas Cowboys(-5.5) @ New York Giants- The Cowboys have had the Giants number the last few meetings including some massive blowouts.  The Giants do have a better receiving corps and a better running game not to mention that Dallas is dealing with a few in.  For some reason I think the owboys will rebound after a loss to the Ravens although I would be somewhat delighted if Daniel Jones can pull the Giants back to .500. 

 

New Orleans Saints (+2) @ Atlanta Falcons- Cousins has looked better and Derek Carr struggled against the Eagles.     Not sure which version of either quarter back shows up but I have been more impressed with the Saints in weeks 1-2.

 

Los Angeles Rams(+3) @ Chicago Bears -  Caleb Williams did throw for 300 plus yards but the Rams looked tough against 49ers.  Kyren Williams had 3 touchdowns last week and appears to have absorbed the volume with Kupp and Puka out. 

 

Minnesota Vikings(+2.5) @ Green Bay Packers -  The Vikings look a lot better than last season but are dealing with a few injuries but so are the Packers.  Malik Willis has been playing well but the Vikings defense has been playing well.  Matt Lafleur has been coaching the Packers. 

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (-2)(LOCK) @ Indianapolis Colts -  This seems like a game where the Steeler defense makes Anthony Richardson’s life miserable.  Justin Fields isn’t exactly lighting it up though which could keep Indianapolis in it if Michael Pittman figures it out. 

 

Denver Broncos (+7.5) @ New York Jets -  Both teams came away with nice wins.  Aaron Rodgers is looking like Aaron Rodgers again and the Broncos blew out the Bucs.   Perhaps the Broncos defense can do enough the slow down the Broncos offense but the Jets have numerous offensive weapons that could pull ahead. 

Washington Commanders (+3.5) @ Arizona Cardinals-  Kingsbury goes against his former protégé Kyler Murray.  Jayden Daniels can’t keep playing this well although teams that have played the Lions the previous week have not covered since last year.   Although Washington’s defense could allow Marvin Harrison Jr. to have a great game. 

Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2) -  The Eagles go against the team that eliminated them last season.  It looks like AJ Brown is not going to play.

 

Cincinnati Bengals (-4.5) @ Carolina Panthers -   Andy Dalton goes against his former team and looks to put them at 0-4.  It still feels like the Bengals offense is finding its rhythm and they have to win.  Although they do remind me of Washington teams in the past that played down to the level of their competition.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars (+7) @ Houston Texans – Both teams got blown out.  The Texans offense could do enough to pull out the win but perhaps Jaguars will show signs of life after an embarrassing loss against a division rival.

 

New England Patriots @ San Francisco 49ers (-10) – The 49ers look to pull it together after losing to a division rival.  The Patriots were surprisingly competitive the first two weeks but Jacoby Brissett and the team seems to have regressed to the mean.  I wonder if we see Drake Maye soon.

 

Cleveland Browns @ Las Vegas Raiders (+1) - Both teams are coming off bad losses to 0-2 teams where they were expected to win by large margins.  The Raiders with Minshew may come out on top given that Watson is having trouble putting it together.

 

Kansas City Chiefs @ Los Angeles Chargers (+8.5)- It maybe Heinickie time again if Herbert can’t go.  The Chiefs offense has been playing pretty poorly although their defense keeps getting the wins.

 

Buffalo Bills (+3) @ Baltimore Ravens – Josh Allen looked great against the Jaguars.  The Ravens defense has looked shaky.  The Ravens need Lamar to come through.  The Bills defense will be  

Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins (+1.5) – Perhaps the Dolphins will show signs of life at home against the Titans who also looked shaky against the Jets.

Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions (-5)- Both teams are undefeated but the Seahawks are dealing with a few injuries in the backfield.   The Lions look to solidify their case as being the best team in the NFC East after knocking off the Bucs last week. 


Week 3 Against the Spread- 9-7

Week 3 Straight up - 8-8

Week 3 Locks - 0-1

2024 Against the Spread- 24-26

2024 Locks – 1-5

2024 Straight up- 30-18


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