Sunday, September 18, 2022

2022 Week 2 Picks



Joe Flacco wants to prove he's elite again by helping the Jets avoid going 0-2

New York Jets @ Cleveland Browns (-6) -  I can't in good conscience pick the Jets as long as Joe Flacco is starting.  The Browns look to go 2-0 without Deshaun Watson.


Washington Football Team @ Detroit Lions (-2.5) - Both teams covered last week.   Washington managed to hold onto a lead against the Jaguars although there were signs of a collapse.  The Lions only lost the game 38-35 although perhaps they were aided by the fact the Eagles had little to play for as the Lions managed to outscore the Eagles 17-0.   Wentz's inconsistency scares me in this one, then again his counterpart Jared Goff isn't inspiring.   

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) @ New Orleans Saints-  The Saints have seemed to have had Tom Brady's number lately.  The Saints did struggle against the Falcons but did manage to pull it together in the 2nd half.  Jameis Winston looked sharp.  That being said, his play from game to game has been inconsistent- plus Alvin Kamara is out for this game.  

Carolina Panthers @ New York Giants (-2.5) -  Saquon Barkely should be in line for an even bigger game against a Panthers team that didn't take care of its business against a Browns team the previous week.

New England Patriots  @ Pittsburgh Steelers (+1.5) - The Patriots have been effective at slowing down the Steelers. That being said the Steelers did look sharp in an unexpected win against the Bengals.  


Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+4) - The Colts season last week was ended by the Jaguars in a meaningless game.  The Jaguars offense does look a bit spring with the the return of James Robinson.  Michael Pittman for the Colts is also out.

Miami Dolphins @ Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) - Tyreek Hill has given the Ravens trouble in the past although the Ravens may be able to slow him down enough.  It will be interesting to see how the Dolphins play on the road against the Ravens who typically hold up well at home.

Atlanta Falcons (+10) @ Los Angeles Rams-  The Falcons could falter a bit on the road although they did manage to do enough to keep it close against the Saints last week.  This is the biggest point spread of the week and people are assuming to the Rams will get back on track after a long week to prepare.  Although there inability to run the ball was concerning against the Bills.  

Seattle Seahawks (+10) @ San Francisco 49ers - Perhaps the Seahawks can keep it relatively close against a division rival.   Especially since the 49ers will be without Elijah Mitchell.  The Seahawks will have to avoid an emotional letdown after just beating Russell Wilson last week, although their defense did seem solid in that game.

Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5) @ Dallas Cowboys - Without Dak Prescott, this could be a tough one for the Cowboys to overcome, especially since the Bengals want to avoid going 0-2 after their surprising playoff run last season.

Houston Texans (+10) @ Denver Broncos- The Texans did play the Colts tight for most of the week while the Broncos are still looking to get things in gear for Russell Wilson.  As of right now, it may be best to see see how the Bronco's offense plays out before trusting them to cover here.

Arizona Cardinals (+6) @ Las Vegas Raiders-  The Cardinals looked sloppy against the Chiefs although their defense is slightly better than the Raiders.  Look for Kyler Murray to play better after a poor showing in week 1.

Chicago Bears (+10) @ Green Bay Packers -  The Packers didn't really look up to it against their week 1 matchup against the Vikings   Their inability to slow down Justin Jefferson is concerning.  Although the Bears have struggled in Lambeau, they are coming off a nice win against the 49ers in week 1. 


Tennessee Titans (+10) @ Buffalo Bills - For some reason the Titans have played the Bills close.  Although this time it is in Buffalo.  Still, the Titans need to show a much better effort than they did against the Giants to keep it close.

Minnesota Vikings (+2.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles - Justin Jefferson looked great against the Green Bay Packers.   The Eagles did manage to beat the Lions last week and AJ Brown could present more problems than  whatever the Packers had to throw last week.  Still, the Vikings could come away with a road victory here.  


Week 1 against the Spread - 8-8  
Week 1 Straight Up - 8-8

2021 Against the Spread- 151-127-1

2021 Straight Up- 162-101-1
2021 Locks - 10-5

2020 Against the Spread- 124-140-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 173-97-1
2020 Locks- 24-24-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 

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