Saturday, December 19, 2020

2020 NFL Week 15 Picks

Saturday

Buffalo Bills (-6) @ Denver Broncos - Nothing has appeared to slow down the Bills lately.  Josh Allen has looked like a top five quarterback recently.  The Broncos defense and offense have both been inconsistent.   

Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers (-8) - Expect both teams to put up points in this game.  Carolina's offense does not have as a high of ceiling though with Christian McCaffery out and Aaron Rodgers being a superior quarterback.

Sunday

Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Football Team (+6) - Washington has won 4 games in a row.  That being said, they will start Dwayne Haskins and most likely be without starting running back Antonio Gibson.  Washington's offense has also had trouble slowing down mobile quarterbacks like Kyler Murray and Lamar Jackson in what turned out to be blow outs.  That being said, Russell Wilson has not been as 


Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings (-3) - Mitchell Trubisky had a great performance last week against a pourous Texans defense.  The Vikings defense hasn't been that mch better lately although they did manage to limit the Vikings to 13 points - David Montgomery returns so expect the Bears to make it a closer game than the last time they met.  

New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins (-1.5) - The last time these two teams played in Miami, the Patriots were considered Super Bowl contenders.  Now it's the Dolphins who have the heads up for a playoff spot.  The Patriots have come out with excellent game plans against rookie quarterbacks including shutting out rookie quarterback sensation Josh Herbert earlier this season so Tua will have his work cut out for him.  Still, the Dolphins defense could do enough to slow the Patriots to pull out a win.  

Detroit Lions @ Tennessee Titans (-9) - Theoretically the Lions could keep it close if they can run the ball on this Titans defense although this game could get ugly if Chase Daniels is forced to keep pace with the high octane Titans offense.  

Jacksonville Jaguars (+12)(LOCK) @ Baltimore Ravens - The Jaguars stink althoug hthe Ravens will be missing even more players from their receiving corps due to Covid.  The offense will likely go more through Jackson, Andrews, and Dobbins.  

Tampa Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (+6) -  Without Julio Jones, the Falcons offense has not been as sharp and Todd Gurley has struggled lately.  The Falcons defense has had some good performances since Raheem Morris has been promoted as a head coach so they could do enough to keep it close.  

Philadelphia Eagles @ Arizona Cardinals (-6) - Jalen Hurts has come in and given the Eagles a boost.  Still, the Cardinals are looking to stay undefeated against the NFC East who has defeated Dallas, New York, and Washington by an average of more than 20 points.  The Eagles did manage to get it going with Miles Sanders last week and will need to rely on Hurts to create offense due to his scrambling abilities.  

Kansas City Chiefs (-3)(LOCK) @ New Orleans Saints - This a highly anticipated game by some with the return of Drew Brees back into the lineup.   Still, rust could be a factor for the 41 year old quarterback coming off of 11 broken ribs and a punctured lung.  Plus Michael Thomas is out of the lineup.  Alvin Kamara could have a big game for the Saints although the Chiefs still need to win out with the Steelers and Bills competing for the first round bye.   

San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys (+3) - The 49ers do not look great over the past few weeks.  After somehow pulling off an improbable win against the Rams, they followed it up with bad losses against Buffalo and Washington.  The 49ers offense appears to be a mess although Dallas rarely has put together two good weeks in a row which makes this a toss up.  Without Jimmy G, George Kittle, and Deebo Samuels, it's hard to see the 49ers pulling away from the Cowboys by a big margin unless Raheem Mostert has a great performance.

Cleveland Browns @ New York Giants (+6.5) - Odell Beckham does not get to go against his former team but there's a good chance that Colt McCoy will get the start against the trade.  While the Giants may have won the trade with Odell Beckham - the Browns are clearly winning the season anyways with a 9-5 record.  Both teams are desperate as the Browns want to hold onto their playoff spot while Giants are trying to play themselves back into the NFC East.  Colt McCoy can be a servicable quarterback at times but injuries and consistency have plagued him- still Joe Judge seemed to get the most out of him with Gallman and Morris creating rushing holes

Monday

Pittsburgh Steelers(+14) @ Cincinnati Bengals - The Steelers have been reeling a bit with losses to the Washington Football Team and Buffalo.  The have managed to score only 18 points of offense in their last 6 quarters of play.  That being said, the Steelers should be due for a bounce back game against the Bengals who can't seem to get it going without Joe Burrows and Joe Mixon.


Week 15 Against the Spread- 1-0
Week 15 Straight-Up- 0-1
2020 Against the Spread- 93-113-4
2020 Week Straight Up - 126-84-1
2020 Locks- 19-21-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

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