Sunday, December 6, 2020

2020 NFL Week 13 Picks

Sunday

Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans (-4) - The Browns are 8-3 but the Titans running game with Derrick Henry is coming on strong, rushing for 400 yards in his last 3 games.   Cleveland could get a boost with Myles Garrett coming back to bolster the Browns' defensive line, although I am not sure if Baker Mayfield can keep pace with Ryan Tannehill.  

Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets (+8) - The Raiders are coming off a terrible performance against the Falcons and play a hapless Jets teams.   The Jets have actually covered in 3 of the 5 weeks, 2 of the 5  times against the Dolphins.  

Jacksonville Jaguars (+10) @ Minnesota Vikings -  Dalvin Cook is banged up, playing through injuries, but could have a bigger role with Alexander Mattison out of the lineup.   James Robinson is on pace for 1295 yards this season which would be the most for an undrafted rookie in NFL history.   

Cincinnati Bengals (+10.5) @ Miami Dolphins - Last year, these teams were tanking but had an epic classic between Andy Dalton and Ryan Fitzpatrick.  Both teams drafted rookie quarterbacks, and the Dolphins will proceed to have theirs return from an injury.  The Bengals looked surprisingly feisty against a strong Giants defense and with Tua coming back opens the door for the Bengals to cover.  

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (+3) - David Johnson returns to the lineup as they look to rely more on with with Will Fuller being suspended.  This is a game where the Texans could hang with the Colts simply because of DeShaun Watson

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears (-3) - The Lions blew a big lead in the opening week as rookie running back Swift dropped a potential game winning pass.  The Lions being without Kenny Golladay and DeAndre Swift hurts them in this matchup even if Mitchell Trubisky is playing.

New Orleans Saints (-2.5) @ Atlanta Falcons - While the Saints dominated the last game, Julio Jones returns which could make for a closer game at home for the division rivals.  

New York Giants @ Seattle Seahawks (-10.5) - The Giants offense may not be able to keep pace with the Seahawks offense if it finds its footing.  With Chris Carson returning, look for Wilson to get back on track as he thrown for under 248 in his last 3 games.  

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals (+2.5) - Kyler Murray looked awful in his last game while the Rams blew a game down the stretch against the 49ers.  This could be a game where the Rams offense takes advantage of the Cardinals secondary and the Rams could get the edge if Aaron Donald dominates up front.  

New England Patriots @ Los Angeles Chargers (+.5) - Josh Herbert could do enough to propel the Chargers to a win.  The Patriots with Cam Newton have been competent lately but consistency has always been an issue for Newton to maintain.  The Chargers will have their work out for them containing the Patriots running game, although with Ekeler back, the Chargers have plenty of explosiveness to beat the Pats.    

Philadelphia Eagles @ Green Bay Packers (-8) - Something has been wrong with Carson Wentz throughout this season largely due to shoddy offensive line play.   While Aaron Jones has not been as good as he was last season Jamaal Williams has filled in nicely.  Allen Lazard comes back to an already strong receiving corps

Denver Broncos  (+13.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs - The Denver Broncos will get back a NFL caliber quarterback against the Chiefs who have at times been bored with their opponents.  LeVeon Bell cold get a bigger role if CEH is out with an illness.

  

Monday

Buffalo Bills @ San Francisco 49ers (-1) - The Bills offense has not been as explosive with John Brown out of the lineup and could struggle against a 49ers defense which has been bolstered by the return of Raheem Mostert and Richard Sherman. 

Washington Football Team (+10.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers - Washington has looked a bit feisty against the Cowboys outscoring Dallas 21-0 in the 4th quarter.  The Steelers are coming off a disappointing effort in a win against the Ravens and may struggle coming off a short week.  That being said, the Steelers' defense under Tomlin has given Alex Smith fits throughout his career.  

Tuesday

 Dallas Cowboys (+8.5) @ Baltimore Ravens - The Ravens are coming off a short week but are returning several players who have had time off including Lamar Jackson, JK Dobbins, and possibly Mark Andrews.  Dallas can still put together good performance at times somehow competing against the Steelers after getting trounced by Washington in the previous week.  


Week 13 Against the Spread- 5-10-1
Week 13 Straight Up- 10-5
Week 13 Locks - 2-2
2020 Against the Spread- 80-93-3
2020 Week Straight Up - 111-66-1
2020 Locks- 18-19-1

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

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