Week 7 Picks

Italicized for win - Bolded for spread Tennessee Titans @ LA Chargers (-6.5)  - LA Charger's running back Melvin Gordon is out.  Mariota has thrown for less than 150 yards in 4 of his 5 past games and the Titans were sacked 11 times last week.   New England Patriots (-2) @ Chicago Bears - A Super Bowl XX rematch.  Perhaps the Bears are due for a bounceback game after a loss to the Dolphins.  However, the Patriots are a good cold weather team.  While they are winless on the road, that is when they didn't have Edelman and Gordon.  Khalil Mack is banged up and did not have a sack last week. Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5) - Baker Mayfield had a poor showing against the Chargers.  The Bucs have a variety of consistent offensive weapons while the Browns receivers in Landry and Callaway have not been producing.  Tampa Bay averages 34.6 points per game while Cleveland has scored only 26 points in their last two games; granted the Bucs defense has not been as good as either the Ravens or Chargers defense. Detroit @ Miami (+3) - Detroit Lions plus 25 in the first quarter and look to continue that trend coming off a bye.  Brock Osweiler makes his second start.  Gore could be due for another big game going against the Lion's worst rushing defense. Carolina Panthers (+5) @ Philadelphia Eagles - The Panthers could do enough to keep this one close in Philadelphia. They could be due for a rebound game after their offense imploded at the goal line against the Redskins. Buffalo Bills @ Indianapolis Colt (-7)[LOCK] - Derek Anderson makes his first start who has a career 40 touchdowns and 40 interceptions.  TY Hilton returns for the Colts.  If this game becomes a shootout, it may tough for the Bills to keep pace.  Minnesota (-3.5)[LOCK] @ NY Jets - Adam Theilen is leading the league in receiver and the Jets top two cornerbacks are banged up. Kirk Cousins goes against the team that went after him in free agency. Houston Texans (+4.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars - Neither team looked impressive in the last few weeks.  That being said, the Texans offense could be enough to keep this game close on the road. New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens (-2.5) - Drew Brees coming off a bye could be a daunting test, then again playing the Ravens outdoors could be enough to give Baltimore the edge. Dallas @ Washington (+1) - Both teams looked solid last week in wins, Dallas blowing out the Jaguars and the Redskins beating the Panthers.  Dallas has won their past 5 games in Washington and Washington has not beaten Dallas since they drafted Ezekiel Elliot.  Washington's defense has forced a turnover in their past 7 games. LA Rams (-9.5) @ San Francisco 49ers - The Rams are now 10-1 in their last 11 road games.  The 49ers offense is still running nicely under Kyle Shanahan but could be due for a letdown. Cincinnati @ Kansas City Chiefs (-7) - While the Bengals are still a solid team, it looks like they may not be able to contain the Chiefs offense who surged for 37 points against the Patriots. NY Giants @ Atlanta (-4) - The Falcons are a .500 team at home with losses to potential playoff teams including the Bengals and Saints.  Barkley and Beckham can be due for big games against Atlanta's pourous defense but Eli Manning is also turnover prone at this stage of his career. Week 7 Against the Spread: 1-0 Week 6 Straight Up: 1-0 2018 Season against the Spread- 36-41-3 2018 Season Straight Up- 46-32-2 2018 Locks- 7-7-1 2017-18 Against the Spread- 221-225-7 2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92 2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7 2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41 2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-10