Sunday, October 7, 2018

Week 5 Picks

Tennessee Titans (-3.5) @ Buffalo Bills - The Tennessee Titans are riding high after three consecutive wins and two where they were underdogs against the Jaguars and Eagles.  Now they play a team that has been terrible other than a great showing against the Vikings.

Atlanta Falcons (+3) @ Pittsburgh Steelers -  Both teams are off slow starts.  Certainly a toss up game in what could be a shootout.  I believe the Ryan will continue finding Jones and Ridley and Freeman returns back to the backfield gives them the edge.

Denver Broncos (+1)[LOCK] @ New York Jets - The Broncos were a missed throw away to Thomas from completing an upset against the Chiefs  Look for them to take advantage of the inexperience of Sam Darnold. Despite their struggles in east coast, the Broncos will probably be amped up after a close loss to the Chiefs. 

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs (-3)(LOCK) - The Chiefs historically play better at home.  The Jaguars are a trick or treat team but seemed to put it together against a solid Jets defense which on paper is better than the what the Chiefs have been putting out.  That being said, the Jaguars offense could in trouble without Fournette.

Green Bay Packers  @ Detroit Lions(+1.5)  - Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy's rift may be exaggerated and the Lions were unable to get another 100 yard rushing game in consecutive weeks.  The Packers being without Cobb and Allison could give the Lions the edge. 

Baltimore Ravens (-3) @ Cleveland Browns - The Ravens will face a much more frisky Browns team but the Ravens looked impressive against the Steelers in the previous week. 

NY Giants @ Carolina Panthers (-7) - The Giants could keep it close but the Panthers are coming off a bye and have already covered against the Cowboys. 

Miami Dolphins @ Cincinnati Bengals (-6) - Miami looked like a below average team against the Patriots. Joe Mixon and Burfict return to the lineup. 

Oakland Raiders @ LA Chargers (-5) - The LA Chargers have had trouble putting away opponents including the Bills and 49ers but the Raiders have given up 20 plus in the last two 2nd half games. 

Arizona Cardinals (+4) @ San Francisco 49ers - The Cardinals can keep it close against a division rival.

Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles (-3)(Lock) - Adam Thielen leading the league in catching, but the Vikings are last in rushing.  Look for the Eagles to bounce back against Kirk Cousins who has struggled on the road against Seattle.  The Eagles are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.

LA Rams (-7) @ Seattle Seahawks   - The Seahawks lost badly to the Rams at home in their previous matchup and have had extra time to prepare coming off a Thursday night game. 

Dallas Cowboys (+3.5) @ Houston Texans - These are two evenly matched teams and the Cowboys may have homefield advantage. 

Washington Redskins (+7) @ New Orleans - Redskins coming off a bye could do enough to keep it close especially with a rested Adrian Peterson.  Mark Ingram returns adding to a deep arsenal for the Saints.  The Saints have had trouble putting away opponents.  Chris Thompson returns to where he suffered a season ending injury. 


Week 5 Against the Spread: 1-0
Week 5 Straight Up: 1-0

2018 Season against the Spread- 20-26-3
2018 Season Straight Up- 28-19-2
2018 Locks- 5-4-1

2017-18 Against the Spread- 221-225-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-10  

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