Sunday, December 24, 2023

2023 Week 16 NFL Picks

 

Brock Purdy thinks that Christian McCaffrey should be MVP

Washington Commanders(+3) @ New York Jets - Neither team inspires any confidence.  Sam Howell was benched in his last game but makes his return against the Jets who have benched Zach Wilson yet again.  Perhaps the Commanders can get some momentum against the Jets if they go back to Brissett but their offensive line has struggled all season.  The Commanders defense has been unable to generate a pass rush.  The winner of this game also gets a worse draft pick meaning there isn't much to play for other than pride.

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings (+3)-  The Vikings looked much better changing quarterbacks while the Lions have managed to take care of bad teams.


Cleveland Browns (-2.5) @ Houston Texans - Both teams are still succeeding despite their high profile quarterbacks going down.   

Green Bay Packers (-4.5)(LOCK) @ Carolina Panthers- The Panthers season has hit the tank.  Jordan Love has shown more than the Bryce Young this season.

Seattle Seahawks @ Tennessee Titans (+2.5)-  The Titans will likely have the upper hand just since Seattle is traveling from the West Coast.  Although Kenneth Walker does suit up against a Titans team that has struggled holding down the run.

Arizona (+4.5) @ Chicago Bears - The Bears should take care of business at home but consistency has been a problem for them plus Kyler Murray tends to keep games close against lesser teams.  

Indianapolis Colts (-1) (LOCK) @ Atlanta Falcons- The Falcons go back again to Taylor Heinickie but the Colts may get Jonathan Taylor back meaning they are poised to keep their playoff hopes alive.  

Jacksonville Jaguars (-1)(LOCK) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - The Bucs have at times been resilient with Mike Evans helping the passing game but it looks like the Jaguars will have an edge as Trevor Lawrence returns. 

Dallas Cowboys (+1.5) @ Miami Dolphins - The Cowboys looked terrible in their loss against the Bills.  The Dolphins looked sharp against a poor Jets team.  It is hard to determine which version of each team shows up.  For now, the Cowboys could be due for a bounce back after a poor showing otherwise people will begin to criticize Dak's performance in December.


New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos (-6.5)- The Patriots typically struggled in Denver even with Brady and the Broncos have been playing well recently.

Las Vegas Raiders (+10) @ Kansas City Chiefs - The Chiefs typically beat up on the Raiders although the Raiders have been a bit feisty since Antonio Pierce has taken over as head coach.

New York Giants (+12) @ Philadelphia Eagles-  The Devito Hype train hit a bit of snag against the Saints last week.  The Eagles look to get back on track against a Giants team they have kind of owned.  Perhaps the Eagles 'can hid their weakness of their weak secondary against the Giants.  Although Barkley is due for a big play or two and Waller returns, it could get ugly for the Giants if the Eagles can regain some of their form as we inch closer to the playoffs   

Baltimore Ravens @ San Francisco 49ers (-5.5)- In what is the game of the week, the 49ers go against a Ravens team that struggled a bit against their division rival Rams in a shootout.  For now the 49ers may try to send a message to a another potential Super Bowl contender.  This will be a big test for Lamar Jackson.  The 49ers freight train could continue although if the Ravens keep it close it also would not be that surprising.


Week 15 Against the Spread- 4-12

Week 15 Locks - 0-1

Week 15 Straight up - 9-7

Week 16 Against the Spread - 1-2

Week 15 Straight up - 2-1

2023 Against the Spread - 102-105-1

2023 Locks - 22-13

2023 Straight Up - 121-87


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