Thursday, October 5, 2023

2023 NFL Week 5 Picks


Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills (-5)  - The Jaguars playing in London again and have yet to lose although the Bills are playing out of their minds including a blowout win against the Dolphins.  This game could be closer if the Bills have any letdown. Evan Engram needs to remain the Jaguars most consistent player against a good Buffalo defense. 

New Orleans Saints (-1.5) @ New England Patriots - The Patriots look terrible although they could game play effectively against Derrick Carr but it still looks like to bet against Mac Jones until he can prove it.

Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts (-1) (LOCK)-Derrick Henry came alive and managed to take care of business.  The Colts do get Jonathan Taylor back.   

Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers - Lamar and company just keep taking care of the division.  Pickett has not been good over the last 4 games. 

Carolina Panthers @ Detroit Lions (-9.5) - Detroit is coming out a longer bye. Armon St. Brown which opens the door against the Panthers.  David Montgomery should have a big game. 

Houston Texans (+2.5) @ Atlanta Falcons - Is Kyle Pitts a bad first round pick already.   Could be a close game given the Texans rush defense is poor although the Texans have better quarterback play. 

New York Giants @ Miami Dolphins (-10.5)- Could be a get right game for the Dolphins after a poor showing.  Daniel Jones needs to pick it up. Darren Waller has a good match-up against the Dolphins defense. 

Cincinnati Bengals @ Arizona Cardinals (+3)  -  These are two similar teams so far this season at least if Burrow is not 100%.  Dobbs may be a quality starter.   

Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams (+5) - This is going to be essentially a home game for the Eagles.  Cooper Kupp returns which could open up this game a bit.  

New Orleans Saints(+1.5) @ New England Patriots - This could be ugly game where both teams average 15 points per game.  

New York Jets @ Denver Broncos (-1.5) - I'm not counting on Zach Wilson having back to back good games. 

Kansas City Chiefs @ Minnesota Vikings (+5.5) - The Chiefs lack of offensive weapons outside of Kelce could hurt them although the Vikings defense could make it entertaining.

Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers (-3.5)(LOCK) - This could be a battle of defenses.  The 49ers have had Dak Prescot's.

Green Bay Packers @ Las Vegas Raiders (+2.5) -  Jordan Love hasn't been great the last couple of games as the Packers have not been able to get their running game going.  Aaron Jones could rebound this week. 


Week 5 Against the Spread - 0-1

Week 5 Straight up - 0-1

2023 Against the Spread - 31-34
2023 Locks - 4-5
2023 Straight Up - 40-24


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