Sunday, January 1, 2023

2022 Week 17 Picks

 Arizona Cardinals @ Atlanta Falcons (-3)- Kyler Murray and Colt McCoy are both out meaning that the Cardinals could struggle on the road in Atlanta.

Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (+2.5)- The Patriots look to avenge their loss earlier in the season against the Dolphins.  

Chicago Bears (+6.5) @ Detroit Lions - Both teams had massive letdowns last week in losses although the Lions have shown a potential to rebound from bad losses at home.  Although one cannot rule out the Lions from folding when the games are actually meaningful.

Cleveland Browns (+2) @ Washington Commanders - Carson Wentz returns which may seem like a bit of a short-sighted move even if Heinickie has struggled.  Ron Rivera is hoping that Wentz plays more like he did with the Eagles than he has with Washington although it seems unlikely that a rebound will happen because of the poor play of Washington's offensive line.  The Commanders will have to rel upon their defense to keep them in this one, although I suspect DeShaun Watson will play better in this spot than he has in previous weeks.  

New Orleans Saints @ Philadelphia Eagles (-5.5)-  The Saints have struggled getting Alvin Kamara going and the Eagles will try to recreate Minshew Magic.

Indianapolis Colts @ New York Giants (-3) -  The Colts offense came to anemic halt against the Chargers while the Giants are still competing for a playoff spot

Carolina Panthers (+7) @ Tampa Buccaneers - If the Panthers can generate a pass rush, they can keep it close against the Bucs.  Sam Darnold has been a slight upgrade over Bake Mayfield especially since he's connecting well occasionally with DJ Moore.  

Denver Broncos (+10) @ Kansas City Chiefs - The Broncos do get Courtland Sutton back into the lineup although the lack of a running game for the Broncos may hurt them against the Chiefs.  

San Francisco 49ers (-4.5) @ Las Vegas Raiders - The Raiders appear to be moving on from Derek Carr while the 49ers look to solidify themselves as one of the best teams in the NFC after drumming the Commanders.

Houston Texans (+6) @ Jacksonville Jaguars - The Jaguars are a better team on paper than the Texans although perhaps the game will be close against division rivals.

New York Jets @ Seattle Seahawks (-1) - Tyler Lockett is returning from a hand injury which could be enough for them to barely hang on against a Jets team that will get Mike White back.

Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) @ Green Bay Packers - The Vikings easily took care of the Packers earlier in the season although Rodgers did play well in a win last week.  Cousins and Jefferson may be too much for the Packers defense o handle although Cousins has been prone to make mistakes on road against division rivals this season.  

Los Angeles Rams (+8.5) @ Los Angeles Chargers -  In the battle of Los Angeles favors the Chargers who have a significant advantage at quarterback, running back, and wide receiver.  Even the Chargers defense has been playing well.  The Rams do have a better coach so an upset isn't completely off the table but it s a game where the Chargers should win comfortably.  

Pittsburgh Steelers (+6) @ Baltimore Ravens - This should be a good defensive battle which favors the Steelers because Lamar Jackson remains out.

Buffalo Bills (-1.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals- This game could be a prequel to potential playoff matchup between the two teams.  The Bengals may be playing the best football in the NFL with impressive wins over the Chiefs and Bucs.  It's hard to bet against either team here although I'm slightly favoring the Bills given that the Bengals just lost their right tackle.  


Week 15 Against the Spread - 5-10-1

Week 15 Straight Up -  12-4

2022 Against the spread - 118-111-6

2022 Straight up - 152-84-1

2021 Against the Spread- 151-127-1

2021 Straight Up- 162-101-1
2021 Locks - 10-5

2020 Against the Spread- 124-140-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 173-97-1
2020 Locks- 24-24-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 

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