Sunday, November 24, 2019

Week 12 NFL Picks


Haskins threw for 2 touchdowns last week
Unfortunately both occurred in garbage time

Italicized for win
Bolded for spread

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (-4) - The Falcons defense has picked up momentum recently although both teams with should feature a passing games with great receiving targets including Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley, the Falcons receivers out of Alabama and Mike Evans and Chris Godwin for the Buccaneers.

Miami Dolphins  @ Cleveland Browns (-11)  - The Browns have extra time to prepare for this one despite being without Myles Garrett.  The Browns seem like a more impressive team with Kareem Hunt in the offense.  Landry has been seeing the majority of Baker Mayfield's targets, not Odell Beckham Jr. 


New York Giants @ Chicago Bears (-6) -   It will be interesting to see what Daniel Jones does against Daniel Jones can do against the Bears in a low scoring game.  Saquon Barkley looks to exceed his 1 yard rushing total from last week. 

Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints (-9.5) LOCK- DJ moore has been seeing a particularly large role in the Panthers offense over the last few weeks.  Alvin Kamara should get on track against the Carolina Panthers whose defense isn't great but did slow down Falcons running back Brian Hill last week.  Michael Thomas has a 91% completion from his targets and is on pace to break Marvin Harrison's record for most targets in a season. 



Oakland Raiders (-3.5) @ New York Jets - New York Jets did take care of the Redskins and Giants but appear to be due for a letdown against the Raiders who have twice as many wins as the Redskins and Giants combined.

Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills (-4) - Josh Allen had a breakout game last week targeting Josh Brown for a multi touchdown game.  Cortland Sutton looks to remain the primary receiver for Brandon Allen but their shaky closing to the Vikings game.  Although the Broncos do have a good running game that could keep the Bills defense honest. 



Detroit Lions (-3.5)(LOCK) @ Washington Redskins - Dwayne Haskins threw for two TDs but in garbage time.  Driscoll looks to continue to replicate Stafford's play from the quarterback position.


Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals (+6.5) - Jaylen Samuels should carry a lot snaps without James Conner in the lineup.  Perhaps the Bengals can do enough to keep it close espeicially if Mixon continues his good play over the last two weeks where he has accumulated over 200 rushing yards and 50 receiving yards.

Seattle Seahawks @ Philadelphia Eagles (-1) - Alshon Jeffrey looks like he is going to play.  Jay Ajayi looks to fill the void with Jordan Howard.  Hollister to see a big role in this one for the Seahawks. 

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) @ Tennessee Titans - This could be a close game between two divisiont rivals.  I am expecting Nick Foles could bounce back especially if Fournette gets a bigger game on the run.



Dallas Cowboy (-6.5) @ New England Patriots - Tom Brady has thrown for as many TDs as Julian Edelman as the last 3 weeks.  Dak Prescott has been one of the more explosive quarterbacks and goes against one of the top defenses.   

Green Bay Packers (+3.5) @ San Francisco 49ers - Jimmy Garropolo has been solid for the 49ers targeting Deebo Samuels more recently. Aaron Rodgers is the number one rated quarterback when targeting running backs and maybe Rodgers decides to target Aaron Jones more coming off a bye. 

Baltimore Ravens (-3)  @ Los Angeles Rams - The Ravens appear to have an advantage with their three tight end offensed led by the mobile Lamar Jackson.  While the Rams defense should provide a good test, their offense remains too inconsistent to be counted on in recent weeks.

Week 12 Picks Against the Spread- 0-1
Week 12 Straight Up- 1-0  


2019 Season Against the Spread- 80-78
2019 Season Straight Up- 93-63
2019 Locks - 11-9

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 


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