Saturday, December 22, 2018

Week 16 Picks

Italicized for win
Bolded for spread

Washington Redskins (+10) @ Tennessee Titans - Josh Johnson won his first start in his career; he was drafted in 2008.  Maybe the Redskins should have gone in on their all Alabama strategy by taking running back Derrick Henry instead of wide receiver Josh Doctson in 2016.  Washington showed signs of life which may have given Redskins fans hope for the playoffs another week but usually fall apart after raising expectations.  Although maybe Washington's defense can do enough to keep it within single digits.





Baltimore Ravens @ Los Angeles Chargers (-4.5)(LOCK) - The Ravens are battling for a playoff spot and the Chargers are battling for a first round bye.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7) @ Dallas Cowboys - The Cowboys were shut out last week, while the Bucs only have 2 road wins, if they can contain Amari Cooper, they can keep it close.

Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions (+5.5) - Vikings recorded 9 sacks last week against the Dolphins and Dalvin Cook had a nice rushing game.  The Lions have been held under 21 for the last five games but could keep it close at home in a rivalry game.




Atlanta Falcons (-3)(LOCK) @ Carolina Panthers - Cam Newton is out and Taylor Heineke takes over.  The Panthers could become the first team in NFL history to start the season 6-2 and finish 6-10.





Houston Texans @ Philadelphia Eagles(-2) - Nick Foles coming off a nice win against the Rams.  Carson Wentz says he wants to play on his bad back but the Eagles are sitting him out.

New York Giants (+9.5) @ Indianapolis Colts - While the Giants were shutout, the Giants may have had a bad week because of the weather and could play better indoors.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns(-8.5) - While the Bengals lost by 15 points in the previous matchup, it is a division rivalry game.  Joe Mixon also returns for the Bengals. Cleveland does need to win this game though and could be motivated against Hue Jackson.





Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots (-12) - Brady is having his worst season since 2009.  That being said, Brady is 26-3 all time against Buffalo and 15-1 at home.  His only loss came where Brady only played in the 1st quarter and sat out in a meaningless game.

Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets  (+3) - Aaron Rodgers is playing in a meaningless game and could also hurt their chance at a better draft pick. 




Jacksonville Jaguars @ Miami Dolphins (-4) - Miami looks to recover after a no show on the road against the Vikings.





Chicago Bears (-4)(LOCK) @ San Francisco 49ers - The 49ers have had a few nice wins in a row against th Broncos and Seahawks.  Look for the Bears' #1 defense to take over which has been setting opposing quarterbacks 30 years which is carried by Khalil Mack who the 49ers tried to trade for.

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals(+14) - With Gurley out, the Rams may not completely trash the Cardinals.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+5.5) @ New Orleans Saints - The Saints appear to be in the driver's seat for a first round bye although the Steeelers may make this one close even with the the departure of Connors.




Kansas City Chiefs  @ Seattle Seahawks (+2.5) - This is certainly more of a toss up game especially since Seattle's 12th man.






Denver Broncos(-3) @ Oakland Raiders - This is a must win game for the Broncos in terms of their reputation as 3 straight losses to the 49ers Browns, and Raiders would probably mean that the Broncos head coach could be on the hot seat for the foreseeable future.

Week 16 Against the Spread: 7-9
Week 16 Straight Up: 9-7
Week 16 Locks: 3-1

2018 Season against the Spread- 95-94-4
2018 Season Straight Up- 115-75-2
2018 Locks- 16-14-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 221-225-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110  
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