Week 14 Picks Lightning Edition

Green Bay (-3) @ Cleveland - Brett Hundley is still an inconsistent quarterback but the Packers have managed to remain competitive last week despite of it thanks to a solid running game by their two young running backs, Jones and Williams.

  

Detroit (-3) @ Tampa Bay - Detroit has struggled, losing 4 of its past games against winning teams.  The Lions are undefeated against teams under .500.  The Bucs in the meantime have lost their 7 games with Winston starting. 

Oakland(+4) @ Kansas City - The last game ended in dramatic fashion in a Raiders' one point victory.  I expect the Chiefs to win at home by a field goal. 

Minnesota (-2.5) @ Carolina - Minnesota has a solid defense that has traveled well with 5 road wins.  Carolina's offense even with Greg Olsen back has been inconsistent.  

San Francisco (+2.5) @ Houston - San Francisco was limited to field goals in Jimmy Garoppolo's first start but the Texans defense is not as good as Chicago's defense.

Indianapolis @ Buffalo(-3) - Buffalo was semi-competitive for a while against the Patriots and may look better against a team like the Colts at home.  

Chicago(+6.5) @ Cincinnati - The Bengals are coming off a short week but should be feeling more motivated after a loss to a hated division rival.

Dallas (-3.5) @ NY Giants- Eli is back although he still has not won a division game this season.  Stranger things have happened in this weird NFC East rivalry but the Cowboys appear to have found a good running game with Alfred Morris.  Linebacker Sean Lee is also returning.

Tennessee(-3) @ Arizona - Teams are figuring out Blaine Gabbert and AP is out again.
 
NY Jets(-1) @ Denver - Josh McCown could have been had by Denver this past offseason.  

Washington @ LA Chargers (-6) - While the Chargers often play down to their competition as they did last week against the Browns, I suspect they will take Washington more seriously as LA is still playing for a division title.  

Seattle(+2.5) @ Jacksonville - Jacksonville has a better defense and a better running game but at the end of the day Russell Wilson is a better quarterback than Blake Bortles.

Philadelphia(+1) @ LA Rams - It may feel like a road game for Rams with nearby Eagles fans in what should be a toss up game.  

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh (-4) - Complacency may have set in a bit with the Steelers in a couple narrow victories against the Colts and the Bengals.  That being said, the Ravens were blown out at home and seem unlikely to beat the Steelers on the road.  

New England @ Miami (+11) - For some reason, the Patriots are 7-8 with the hoodie as a head coach against Miami.  With Gronkowski out, the Dolphins could lose by less than double digits.   

You can find my picks on the Sports on the Hill Podcast at the 2 hour 19 minute and 45 second mark.



Week 13 Picks Against the Spread - 9-7
Week 13 Picks Straight up - 12-4
2017-18 Against the Spread- 85-92-6
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 120-66
2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41
2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-107