Tuesday, November 11, 2008

My Week 11 Picks

New England (-3) – The Patriots always seem to have the Jets number. It also depends upon which Brett Favre decides to show up.    


Denver (+5) – While the Falcons beat up the Saints, the Broncos put together a great 4 quarter where Cutler threw for over 200 yards.  While the Falcons secondary was able to shut down Saints passing game, I think the Broncos aerial attack is much more impressive.  The Bronco’s defense is really bad, so this is far from a lock.   

 

Philadelphia (-9) – The Eagles have a propensity of blowing out mediocre teams and the trend should continue with Carson Palmer out for the year.

 

Houston (+9)- The Texans just matches up well with the Colts, partly because they are division rivals that see each other twice a year.  The Colts needed a miracle to win their last game against the Texans by 4 points.

 

New Orleans (-5) – Both teams get back their starting running backs (Johnson and Bush).  I think the Saints rebound after a tough loss to the falcons.

 

Oakland (+10.5)Oakland kept it close for most of the game against the Panthers.  I think their defense is underrated and the Dolphins have a tendency to play down to their opponents.

 

Baltimore (+6.5) – I like the Ravens chances of keeping this one close.  The Ravens defense is on whole another level.  It will be up to Joe Flaco to see if he can make plays.

 

Tampa Bay (-4) – I think the Bucs defense will give the Vikings problems.  Adrian Peterson is the X factor, but the Bucs are a much better team at home. 

 

Detroit (+14) – While Carolina plays much better at home, the Lions defense can probably keep this close after a humiliating loss to the Jaguars.   The Lions even have a chance to pull out a W, given how inconsistent Carolina can be. 

 

San Francisco (-6)- The 49ers were impressive in a loss against the Cardinals that could have been a win.  I think the Rams peaked in a 3 week span against the Redskins, Cowboys, and Patriots.

 

Seattle (+3) – the Seahawks get key players back like Hasselbeck and Deion Branch.  Plus the Seahawks are at home.

 

San Diego (+4.5) – When the Chargers come in as underdogs, they usually exceed expectations.  The Steelers, while solid, are by no means invincible at home as proven last week against the Colts. 

 

Tennessee (-3) – The Titans are simply a really good team and I don’t see them letting down against a divisional rival.

 

Washington ( pick’em) – Portis is questionable and Tony Romo is coming back.  I don’t feel like any team has a big advantage over the other, so I’ll use homefield as a tiebreaker.

 

Buffalo (-5)Buffalo has been struggling as of late.  It makes sense that a tough Patriots defense would shut down the Bills.  I don’t see the same thing happening against the Browns.  Plus I think the Bills will be able to game plan against Brady Quinn after his 1st game in the NFL.

 

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