Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5) (in London) - The Broncos have been one of the most disappointing teams this season. The Jaguars came into the season with low expectations but after a few surprise wins, they have been underachieving. This should be a low scoring game provided the defense doesn't make some scoring plays. The Broncos lack of a running game makes me slightly favor the Jaguars who have played well in London.
Chicago Bears (+9.5) @ Dallas Cowboys - The Bears are coming off a surprise win against the Patriots where they ran the ball well and Justin Fields was certainly more consistent than he's been this season as the Bears completed an upset victory like they did in week 1 against the 49ers. The Cowboys barely did enough to cover against the Rams and were aided b how Armon St. Brown exited the game. Still, it's hard to take the Bears too seriously even though they played well, I would expect a letdown on the road.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+10.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles - The Steelers had plenty of opportunities to complete an upset against the Dolphins last week but it just looks like Kenny Pickett stares down his receivers. The Eagles could provide similar trouble for the rookie quarterback and I expect the Eagles to at least put up 20 points. Najee Harris did look springy last week though and the Eagles can't let complacency step in as the Steelers defense is playing well.
New England Patriots @ New York Jets (+1.5) - The Patriots should be playing better after a complete letdown. While the Jets are an upstart team, they will be missing Hall. It's hard to make out how good the Jets defense is as they did contain the Packers and Broncos recently. While the quarterback play is inconsistent, at least Rhamondre Stevenson could provide a lift.
Miami Dolphins (-3.5) @ Detroit Lions - The Lions kept it close against Dallas last week. The Dolphins defense has been playing well although Tua didn't seem to get it going throughout the game.
Carolina Panthers(+4.5) @ Atlanta Falcons - The Panthers may keep it close in a divisional game coming off a surprise win against the Bucs. The Falcons failed to cover for the first time this season.
Arizona Cardinals (+3.5) @ Minnesota Vikings - The Cardinals are coming off a Thursday night whereas the Vikings are coming off a bye. While Arizona will be without running back James Conner, Eno Benjamin so far this season has filled in admirably. The problem of course is that Arizona has to contend with Justin Jefferson although they did manage to score two defensive touchdowns the last time we saw them. The Vikings should be favored but it could be a close game especially with DeAndre Hopkins back in the lineup.
Las Vegas Raiders (-2) @ New Orleans Saints - The Raiders unleashed Josh Jacobs last week. I expect this game to be a high scoring one.
Tennessee Titans (-2) @ Houston Texans - Ryan Tannehill is out. The Texans will have their hands full containing Derrick Henry though.
New York Giants @ Seattle Seahawks (-3) - Both teams are playing well given the forecasts they ha coming into the season. I expect the Seahawks to take this one at home.
Washington Commanders (+3) @ Indianapolis Colts - Sam Ehlinger makes his debut against a Washington team that played extremely well against the Green Bay Packers. The key to this game will be whether the Commanders can contain Jonathan Taylor. If not, expect Ehlinger to get it going against a Washington secondary that has looked suspect at times earlier in the season against teams like Detroit and Philadelphia.
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams (-1.5) - The Rams and 49ers have not been playing up to expectations. The Rams running game is atrocious while the 49ers defense has been one of the worst, being exposed by the Falcons and Chiefs in consecutive weeks. Cooper Kupp should have a big game but Sean McVay needs a game plan that gets others involved.
Green Bay Packers (+11.5) @ Buffalo Bills - The Packers have suffered defeats to Giants, Jets, and Commanders leaving Aron Rodgers with the taste of his first consecutive 3 game losing streak in his career. The Bills are unlikely to have a complete let down and lose the game although the Packers will attempt to salvage their season.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns (+3.5) - Jamarr Chase is out although Tyler Boyd did his best impression last week in their victory against the Falcons. The Browns defense is much better, the questions of course is whether Jacoby Brissett can keep up with Joe Burrow.
Week 7 Against the Spread - 10-4
Week 7 Straight Up - 10-4
2022 Against the spread - 54-51-2
2021 Against the Spread- 151-127-1
2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110
