Sunday, November 12, 2017

Week 10 Picks 2017

The Redskins will get back Trent Williams who
could have his hands full containing Everson Griffin 
who has 10 sacks this season (via Washington Post)  

Minnesota @ Washington (+1.5) - Jordan Reed is out so the Redskins will rely more heavily upon Jamison Crowder and Josh Doctson.  Washington could do a decent job containing the Vikings offense who had a surprising performance against Seattle.  Hopefully for Washington, the Redskins can limit turnovers as Cousins does have the most fumbles allowed by any player this season.

Green Bay @ Chicago (-5.5) - Things don't get easier for the Packers who are coming off a short week and the Bears are coming off a bye.   While Chicago's offense has not been explosive, the Packers' defense may have trouble containing the Bears running attacking including Josh Howard, Tarik Cohen, and even the scrambling QB rushes by Mitchell Trubisky.

Pittsburgh (-10) @ Indianapolis - Pittsburgh is coming off a bye and looks to advantage of the Colts that have not won consecutive games this season.

LA Chargers @ Jacksonville (-5) - The Jaguars have taken care of business over the past few weeks without Leonard Fournette and now get him back.  Philip Rivers is still a savvy quarterback but may struggle to put together a good game against a stifling Jacksonville defense.

NY Jets (-2) @ Tampa Bay- Ryan Fitzpatrick goes against his former team but Tampa Bay will be without their best wide receiver Mike Evans.  One would expect the Jets defense to effectively game plan for Fitzpatrick's strengths and weaknesses.  Josh McCown is also is playing against one of his many former teams.

Cincinnati (+5.5) @ Tennessee - Look for the Titans to take care of business against two AFC North teams in successive weeks who have won each of their past two games by a field goal.

New Orleans @ Buffalo (+3)  - Cold weather could be a factor in this one as Buffalo has not lost a game at home this season not have they lost consecutive games.   The Bills should receive a boost in their passing game with the addition of Kelvin Benjamin and the the return of Charles Clay after weeks of being sidelined.

Cleveland @ Detroit (-11) - The Lions have taken care of business against inferior opponents including double digits wins against the Giants, Cardinals, and Packers.

Houston @ LA Rams(-12) - The Rams are currently on a 3 game winnings streak of double digit wins.  The Texans offense appears to be a mess without DeShaun Watson and Houston's defense is still prone to give up big scoring outburst.

Dallas (+3.5) @ Atlanta - Dallas's defense did a good job containing the Chiefs' offense last week and look to apply a similar formula to the Falcons who have struggled with their play calling all season.  Dallas has an interesting mix of running backs including Darren McFadden and Alfred Morris without Elliot in the lineup.

NY Giants (-2.5) @ San Francisco - The Giants may come away with a win due their defense, although things could get ugly if their players decide not to show up and play for their head coach Ben McAdoo.

New England (-7) @ Denver - Brady's struggles at Denver have been noted including a 2-7 record but Tom Brady has had time to prepare for this Sunday night performance as the Patriots are coming off a bye against a reeling Broncos' team.

Miami (+9) @ Carolina  - Jay Cutler quietly had his first game with over 300 yards, 3 TDs, and 0 interceptions in a loss to the Raiders.  Still, Carolina has a much better defense with Kuchley back in the lineup.  Look for the Panthers to win by a touchdown.

You can hear my picks at the 2 hour mark on Sport on the Hill Podcast hosted by Robbie Gross, Daniel EvansPaul Smith Mike Hoffman and Ken Washington (D.C.'s People's Champ - WCW.

Week 10 Picks Against the spread - 0-0-1
Week 9 Picks Straight up - 1-0
2017-18 Against the Spread- 56-64-5
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 79-49
2016-17 Against the Spread- 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up = 101-41
2015-16 Against the Spread 140-107


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