Sunday, November 19, 2017

Week 11 Picks 2017

Stafford is 7-1 in his last 8 games against the Bears

Detroit (-3) @ Chicago - The game could be close but the Lions with Stafford have shown more poise than the Bears whose offense is still a work in progress with Mitchell Trubisky.  The Lions already have road victories against division rivals including the Vikings and Packers this season.

Jacksonville (-7) @ Cleveland -




Cleveland has had some compelling games at home.  Still, the Jaguars' defense has been something else over the past few weeks and Cleveland's first win of the season is unlikely to come here.

Baltimore (-2.5) @ Green Bay - The Ravens are coming off a bye and get to look at the game film to take advantage of the inexperienced Brett Hundley.  The injury to Aaron Jones, another one of Green Bay's starting running backs, leaves the Packers even more shorthanded.

Arizona (-1.5) @ Houston -  In the battle of below average quarterbacks starring Blaine Gabbert and Tom Savage, the Cardinals boast the better run game and defense.

Tampa Bay @ Miami (-3) - The Dolphins face a familiar foe in Ryan Fitzpatrick who is 5-4 against the Dolphins but only 2-3 in Miami.

LA Rams (+2) @ Minnesota -

Case Keenum goes against his former team.

   It should be a compelling game but the Rams look like better team as they boast both a top 3 offense and top 3 defense.

Kansas City (-10) @ NY Giants - The Giants could struggle against the Eagles in what should be 12 point game.

Washington @ New Orleans (-9.5) - Washington's defensive line  has struggled against teams with good running games especially without Jonathan Allen.  The Saints defense is also a top 10 defense as Washington's could struggle due to the crowd noise

Buffalo (+7) @ LA Chargers -

After close losses to the Patriots and Jaguars, the Chargers are due for a bounce back game even if Buffalo Bills fans somehow invade the Los Angeles stadium.

Cincinnati (+3) @ Denver - The Broncos offense is terrible.  The Bengals offense is actually better than most give it credit for with a good receiving corp and a solid running game although having Andy Dalton at the helm always makes you nervous.

New England (-7) @ Oakland - The Patriots have been practicing at high altitude in Denver to prepare for the game in Mexico.  Even if that wasn't the case, the Patriots would still be favorites to win unless the officiating somehow favors the team that least supports Trump.

Philadelphia (-6) @ Dallas - Strange things can happen in rivalry games but the Eagles are coming off a bye against a Cowboys team that is still adapting to life without Ezekiel Elliot, and do not have a strong homefield advantage.

Atlanta (+3) @ Seattle -



Seattle's secondary is a mess without a few starters and could become problematic if Russell Wilson struggles to generate points because of a porous offensive line.    If the Falcons can put up some points they can sneak away with a win here.

Week 11 Picks Against the spread - 1-0
Week 11 Picks Straight up - 1-0
2017-18 Against the Spread- 61-72-6
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 87-55
2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41
2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-107

You can also hear my picks here on the Sports on the Hill Podcast, hosted by Robbie Gross including Michael, Tim Clarke, Louis Tenore Daniel Evans, Ken Washington (D.C.'s People's Champ - WCW), and Mike Hoffman at the 2 hour mark.



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