Sunday, November 26, 2017

Week 12 Picks

Cam Newton looks to eliminate the Jets from playoff contention

Carolina (-5.5) @ NY Jets - Carolina has won 3 straight and 4 of their past 5 road games.  The Jets have played their opponents tight at home but could struggle to put up points against the Panthers' defense led by Luke Kuechly.

Tennessee @ Indianapolis (+3.5) - The Titans did beat the Colts by double digits earlier this season but since then the Titans are 0-4 against the spread, mostly due to their defense being terrible.  Indianapolis appears to be playing well with an overtime loss to the Steelers and look to take advantage of Mariota who had 4 interceptions in his last game against Pittsburgh.

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta (-9.5) - Atlanta should win this one although the Bucs may keep it interesting with Ryan Fitzpatrick before losing by double digits.

Miami @ New England (-16.5) - New England's defense appears to have found its groove.  After giving up 30 or more points in 3 of their first 4 games, the Patriots have given no more than 17 points in their last 7 games.   The Dolphins are reeling after losing their past 4 games; 3 by double digits.  Miami does not appear to have the firepower to break through the Patriots' defense.

Chicago @ Philadelphia (-14) - The Eagles have demoralized their opponents including the 49ers, Broncos, and Cowboys.  The Bears have a more steady running game and defense than those teams but lack of a passing game leaves them susceptible to a blowout.

Buffalo (+10) @ Kansas City  - Kansas City has struggled lately including a loss to the lowly Giants but have a 3-1 record at home.  After the Peterman experiment failed with 5 interceptions in the first half against the Chargers, the Bills go back to Tyrod Taylor.  This should be a victory for the Chiefs although it could be within a touchdown.

Seattle @ San Francisco (+7) - The 49ers are coming off a bye and played the Seahawks to a 3 point loss on the road last time.  Maybe San Francisco is due for their first division at home against a Seattle team' whose secondary is decimated by injuries including losing Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman.  Right now, I have Seattle winning the game by a small margin.

Denver (+5) @ Oakland - Oakland looks to get back on track against a struggling Denver team.  Expect a close game between division rivals, but Oakland should come out on top with a win.

New Orleans @ LA Rams (-2) - New Orleans played really well in their comeback against Washington but appear to be suffering with complacency after winning 7 games in a row.  The Rams did lose to the Vikings on the road but have not lost consecutive games this season.  The Saints will be without Marshon Lattimore and Ken Crawley.

Jacksonville (-5.5) @ Arizona - Jacksonville should take advantage of playing their former quarterback Blaine Gabbert.

Green Bay @ Pittsburgh (-14) - Green Bay's offense got exposed again without Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers will take advantge of it as they are still playing for homefield advantage throughout the playoffs with the Patriots looming.

Houston @ Baltimore (-7) - Houston's offense exploded for 31 points last time against the Cardinals but the Ravens defense appears to have found its mojo with their third shutout win of the season last week against the Packers.

Week 11 Picks Against the Spread - 1-2
Week 11 Picks Straight up - 2-1
2017-18 Against the Spread- 69-80-6
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 98-60
2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41
2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-107

You can find my picks on the Sports on the Hill Podcast hosted by Robbie Gross
With Michael Edgley, Brian Brennan, Tim ClarkeTavon Fennell,Louis TenoreDaniel EvansD.C.'s People's Champ - WCW (Ken Washington) and Mike Hoffman at the 2 hour mark.




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