Thursday, November 2, 2017

2017-18 Week 9 Picks

Look for Shady McCoy to have a big game
against a team that he has given nightmares

Buffalo (-3) @ NY Jets - Buffalo appears to be the better team on both sides of the ball.  The Bills played fairly well against Oakland last week and look to slow down Josh McCown.

Indianapolis @ Houston (-7) - DeShaun Watson has been great although the Texans defense has struggled due to a few key injuries to their defensive line.  The Colts early season formula for success has been scouted out as head coach Chuck Pagano is on the hot seat.

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans (-7) - Jameis Winston has struggled mightily against Carolina and look for that trend to continue against another division rival on the road.  While Drew Brees didn't throw a touchdown last week, the Saints dual running attack of Ingram and Kamara has been getting it done behind a surprisingly decent Saints defense.  Plus Willie Snead is returning to the fold which could increase the explosiveness of the Saints offense.

LA Rams (-3.5) @ NY Giants - Both teams are coming off byes but the Rams have a much better offense.  Goff has been fairly consistent with only 1 interception in his past 4 games.

Atlanta @ Carolina (-1) - Both teams have been up and down this season.  Luc Kuechly should be back which should give the Panthers a boost but will be without Kelvin Benjamin.  Still, Atlanta has been pretty inconsistent this season with losses to Buffalo and Miami. They have not been the same team offensively that managed to sweep the Panthers back in 2016 and could struggle on the road.

Denver @ Philadelphia (-7.5)- Carson Wentz faces a much tougher test defensively but the Eagles should take advantage of a sub-par offense from the Broncos .

Baltimore  @ Tennessee (-3.5) - Marcus Mariota appears to have regained his mobility and should be much sharper at home to propel the Titans to victory.  The Ravens did have a nice offensive outburst against the Dolphins but are still an up and down team.

Arizona @ San Francisco (+2) - San Francisco may be in line to get its first win of the season against a team without Carson Palmer and David Johnson.  Drew Stanton has not been as good as his 6-3 record as a starter would indicate as he has only completed around 40% of his passes and had only had 2 touchdowns and 6 interceptions in his last 13 appearances.

Washington @ Seattle (-7) - While Seattle gave up 38 points last week against the Texans, it remains to be seen if Washington can muster that much firepower due to a banged up offensive line and questionable quarterback play from Captain Kirk.  The last time Washington beat Seattle on road was in 2008 but it seems unlikely that this Washington defense can hold Seattle to only 17 points which exploded for 41 points against the Texans last week.

Kansas City @ Dallas - The Cowboys will be without Ezekiel Elliot.  Perhaps Dallas can get something out of Alfred Morris and Darren McFadden but the Cowboys defense will have a tough time containing Alex Smith and Kareem Hunt.

Oakland @ Miami (+3) - Both teams suffered bad losses on the road.   Jay Cutler returns and does not inspire much confidence and the Dolphins traded their top running back .  Still, the Dolphins defense has been pretty good at home in Miami which is a big reason the Dolphins are somehow over .500.

Detroit (-2.5) @ Green Bay - Green Bay is coming off a bye.  That being said, Brett Hundley still has not shown that he is a consistent quarterback with only 1 touchdown and 4 interceptions.  The Lions have struggled at Lambeau but I am still expecting Stafford to lead the Lions to a victory.

Week 8 Picks Against the spread - 7-6
Week 8 Picks Straight up - 9-4
2017-18 Against the Spread- 51-57-4
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 72-43
2016-17 Against the Spread- 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up = 101-41
2015-16 Against the Spread 140-107

You can also find my picks on the Sports on the Hill Podcast, hosted by Robbie Gross.   Louis TenoreDaniel EvansKen Washington Paul Smith and Bryan Carr also make their picks at the 9 hour mark.



No comments: