Thursday, October 26, 2017

Week 8 Picks 2017

The Dolphins appear to have gotten better  
as a result of the injury to Jay Cutler
Matt Moore is a slight upgrade

Miami (+3) @ Baltimore - The two worst offense face off against one another.   Injuries have hit the Ravens heavily and it seems unlikely that Wallace(concussion), Maclin(shoulder) and Bresah Perriman (concussion) will all suit up.  The Ravens are 0-5 against the spread at home this season. 

Minnesota (-9.5) @ Cleveland  - Cleveland managed to take the a relatively good Titans team to overtime last week.  Still, the Vikings may actually be a good team and should come out with a win at a neutral field in London.  Minnesota has actually rushed the ball well since Cook has been out of the lineup and could get a boost if wideout Steffon Diggs returns to the lineup.

LA Chargers (+7.5) @ New England - The LA Chargers are currently on a 3 game winning streak.  New England just took care of business against a good Atlanta team but did lose LB Dont'a Hightower with a torn pec.  

Chicago (+9)  @ New Orleans - Chicago is coming off consecutive wins against the Ravens and the Panthers.  While their defense and special teams appears to returning to top fantasy billing, their passing game is still problematic as the Bears only completed 4 passes in last weeks win against the Panthers.  That being said, the rushing duo of Howard and Cohen should keep it close.

Carolina @ Tampa Bay (-2) - Tampa Bay was probably heading for a win against the Buffalo Bills last week before an untimely fumble by Humphries.  Carolina has looked sub-par offensively the past few weeks as Newton has failed to complete the deep ball.

Indianapolis (+10.5) @ Cincinnati  - The Colts appear to reeling a bit after being shut out by Jaguars team.  The Bengals could attempt to repeat the same formula at home after suffering a disappointing loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The Bengals should have enough to win in a close one.  

Oakland (+2.5) @ Buffalo - Oakland appears to have found its groove in a last second drive against the Kansas City Chiefs and have had a long time to prepare.  

San Francisco @ Philadelphia (-13) - Like Dallas, Philadelphia should take care of business against the 49ers.  Losing the 9 time pro bowler left tackle Peters should hurt but probably not enough against a poor 49ers defense that gave up 50 points last week.  

Atlanta @ NY Jets (+4.5) - Atlanta is already 0-3 against teams against the AFC East.  Their offensive play calling has been lackluster since the bye including a loss to the Dolphins with Jay Cutler.  

Houston @ Seattle (-5.5) - Houston's defense could struggle creating pressure against Seattle's offensive line.  The Seahawk's offense seems on track after last week's win against a strong Giants defense.  

Dallas (-2) @ Washington -  With Ezekiel Elliot, the Cowboys are 2-0 against Washington whose ability to stop the run has been worsened with injuries to Jonathan Allen.  While the Redskin may receive a boost from Josh Norman, Washington has also suffered a number of injuries to their offensive line which could be problematic for Cousins and Washington's running game.

Pittsburgh @ Detroit (-2) - Both teams have had up and down seasons, while the Steelers come into the game with a 2 game winning streak and the Lions have lost 2 straight.  Still, I am giving the Lions the slight edge to respond coming off a bye as they are coming off a bye.  In the meantime, the Steelers are 0-5-1 against the spread before a bye.  

Denver @ Kansas City (-7) -  Kansas City offense's could be vulnerable to pressure and turnovers.  That being said, the Broncos offense has been out of sorts against the NY Giants and LA Chargers and it would be surprising if they could steal one on the road even if Kansas City has lost two consecutive games. 

Week 7 Picks Straight-Up- 12-3
Week 7 Picks against the spread: 6-6-2
2017-18 Season Straight Up- 64-38
2017-18 Against the Spread- 44-51-4
2016-17 Season Against the Spread- 141-115-7
2016-17 Season Straight Up- 101-45
2015-16 Against the Spread- 140-107-9


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