Sunday, October 15, 2017

Week 6 Picks 2017

Mitchell Trubrisky had some nice plays 
but also struggled against a tough Minnesota defense.

Chicago @ Baltimore (-6.5)  -   Theoretically, the Bears could take advantage of a banged up Baltimore team.  However, the Ravens are coming off a nice road win on the road against the Raiders and look to take advantage of the fact that rookie quarterbacks have struggled in Baltimore.

Cleveland @ Houston (-10) -







Cleveland benches their rookie quarterback while the Texans start theirs.  Overall, while Duke Johnson has had a couple of nice games, the Texans could atone for a lackluster effort against the Chiefs, who have made good teams look ordinary.

Green Bay (-3) @ Minnesota - The Vikings offense appears to be appear a little bit of a mess due to the injury to Dalvin Cook.  The Vikings have had nice wins at home against the Bucs and Saints but struggled against division rivals like the Lions.  After beating the Dallas Cowboys, the Packers appear to be a strong enough team on the road to beat the Vikings.

Detroit (+4.5) @ New Orleans- The Saints are slight favories especially coming off a bye.  Although the Lions may keep it close especially considering the effort they mounted against the Panthers in the 2nd half and the fact that Stafford is a comeback king.



Miami @ Atlanta (-13) -

Julio Jones appears to be healthy
after getting injured in week 4 against Buffalo

Watch for the Falcons to rebound big after a surprising loss to the Bills. The Dolphins did pull out a win but I would bet against Cutler who had below average numbers against the Titans.

New England @ NY Jets (-9.5) -




The Patriots may come up with a close win.  However, the game could be close for the Jets who traditionally have played the Patriots close and are coming off their 3rd straight win.

San Francisco @ Washington (-4.5) -



For a winless team the 49ers are frisky while losing a combined 4 games by 11 points.  Still, Washington is coming off a bye and the last time we saw the Redskins they were close to pulling off a win against the undefeated Chiefs.  I would be worried about Pierre Garcon having a big game without Josh Norman, but Washington should likewise look to take advantage of the holes in the 49ers defense.

Tampa Bay @ Arizona (+1.5) -







The Bucs have a long week to prepare from Thursday after a last second loss.  The Cardinals will come up motivated after a big loss to the Eagles.  While Carson Palmer is not getting any younger, the Cardinals could receive a boost with the return of Adrian Peterson, although the aforementioned Chris Johnson who said that Peterson should receiver more touches has been cut.

LA Rams @ Jacksonville (-2.5) -



Two surprise above .500 teams play one another.  Theoretically the Jaguars at home could find a way to repeat their outstanding performance last week against Steelers.  Still, Jacksonville has struggled to put together 2 consecutive wins this season.  Both teams have questionable quarterback play with above average receivers, and great young running backs.  However, the Jaguars have a much better defense that shut down the Ravens and forced Big Ben into 5 interceptions.

Pittsburgh @ Kansas City (-3) - Both teams look to avenge their last loss.  The Steelers really struggled last week against the Jaguars on both ends.  Pittsburgh even gave up a 90 yard run to Leonard Fournette who historically hold opposing running backs to below average games.   The Chiefs last loss came at the end of the 2016-17 postseason against this same Pittsburgh Steelers team.  If Kansas City can covert on 3rd down at a high rate like they did Sunday night against the Texans, then the Chiefs can attempt to atone for how the bitter way that their season ended.

LA Chargers (+3.5) @ Oakland- The Chargers are a perplexing team that have managed to keep games close.  Derek Carr returns which could be enough to put the Raiders over the top but it could be a shootout between the two California teams.

NY Giants @ Denver (-11.5) -



The Broncos are coming off a bye and look to take advantage of the absence of Odell Beckham.  While it could be a potential trap game for the Broncos, their focus may be higher because it is a Sunday Night game in primetime.

Indianapolis (-4) @ Tennessee - Both teams could be without their starting QBs.  If Marcus Marriota returns, I like the Titans chances.  However, with his status in doubt, the Titans offense may struggle with Matt Cassell.


You can hear more about my picks (which are subject to change) with Robbie Gross, Tim Clarke, Brian Brennan, and Ken Washington (D.C.'s People Champ) here on the Sports on the Hill Podcast at the 2 hour 4 minute mark or watch it on the Facebook page .




Week 6 Picks Straight Up: 0-1
Week 6 Picks Against the Spread: 0-1
2017-18 Season Straight Up- 44-30
2017-18 Against the Spread- 33-37-2
2016-17 Season Against the Spread- 141-115-7
2016-17 Season Straight Up- 101-45
2015-16 Against the Spread- 140-107-9

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