Sunday, December 5, 2021

2021 Week 13 Picks

 


Sources say Big Ben will retire after this season.  Mason Rudolph and Dwayne Haskins don't expire confidence as future replacements.  


Miami Dolphins (-3)(LOCK) @ New York Giants - With Daniel Jones out, the Dolphins should continue their good play.

Indianapolis Colts (-9) @ Houston Texans  - Look for the Colts to bounce back after a bad loss last week.  The Texans defense may struggle to contain Jonathan Taylor and will be without David Johnson.

Minnesota Vikings (-7) @ Detroit Lions - The Vikings blew out the Lions last time around without Dalvin Cook and look to repeat the same formula again in a must in game.

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Jets (+6.5) - With Jalen Hurts out, maybe there's a chance the Jets can keep it close.

Arizona Cardinals (-7.5) @ Chicago Bears -  Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins return.  The Bears have been a bit too inconsistent on offense.   

Los Angeles Chargers (+3) @ Cincinnati Bengals - This is certainly a toss up game with both teams eyeing a playoff spot.  Both teams have have pretty good quarterbacks although Herbert has been a bit more consistent this season that Joe Burrow plus Austin Eckler has had a pro bowl caliber season. 

Jacksonville Jaguars (+13) @ Los Angeles Rams - The Rams could potentially pile it on although perhaps the Jaguars can do enough to keep it close.  Both teams were after all both blown out by the 49ers.  A potential for a blow out always looms large when the Jagaurs play as they are 0-3 against the NFC West with 3 double digit losses.  Still, Stafford is a bit banged up and Darrell Henderson is unlikely to play which give the Jaguars the chance to play spoilers again.  S

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (+11) - Perhaps the Falcons can make a game of it against their division rival at home. Patterson would need to have a decent game as the Falcons manage to cover when he's been in the lineup.  

Washington Football Team (+2.5) @ Las Vegas Raiders - Landon Collins is out for Washington while the Raiders will be without the services of Darren Waller.  These teams contrast heavily in styles as Washington has established running the ball more, while the Raiders are a pass happy team.  If Washington's secondary can hold up which it has the past 3 weeks without Chase Young, perhaps Washington can keep their winning streak alive.

San Francisco 49ers (-3) @ Seattle Seahawks - Russell Wilson doesn't look 100% yet largely due to the running game not being good since Chris Carson has been out of the lineup.  The Seahawks will try to save their season with Adrian Peterson in the backfield.  However, this doesn't seem to be the week for the Seahawks to get back on track as the 49ers have been rolling over opponents.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5) @ Baltimore Ravens - The Steelers always have good games against the Ravens who are dealing with several injuries.  The Steelers are hoping for a low scoring affair, although Justin Tucker could give the Ravens the edge if this game comes down to kicking.     

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs (-10)- The Chiefs have covered the last few weeks due the revitalization of their defense.  Terry Bridgewater has struggled lately so I expect the Chiefs to do enough to take care of the Broncos who are coming off a win against the Chargers.  

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills (-3) - Big game between the two division rivals that always seem to come down to the wire.  Both teams have had equally soft schedules so they are pretty evenly matched.   Josh Allen has the edge over Mac Jones.  Perhaps Matt Breida can fill in for an injured Bills backfield.  I also like Diggs more than any offensive wideout that the Patriots have.  


 Week 12 against the Spread - 8-7

Week 12 Straight Up- 10-5

2021 Against the Spread- 85-91

2021 Straight Up- 105-75-1
2021 Locks - 8-5

2020 Against the Spread- 124-140-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 173-97-1
2020 Locks- 24-24-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 

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