Sunday, December 12, 2021

2021 Week 14 Picks

Dallas flew in its benches for todays game against Washington today


New Orleans Saints (-5.5) @ New York Jets - Taysom Hill has struggled with an injured throwing hand but the Saints do get Alvin Kamara back.  Zach Wilson has been up and down all season.

Atlanta Falcons (+3) @ Carolina Panthers  - Carolina did manage to beat the Falcons earlier this season. Although the Panthers have 1 out of 4 games since.  Cam Newton hasn't come through as the starter.

Seattle Seahawks (-7.5) @ Houston Texans - Seattle has appeared to righted the ship.  Houston's leading rusher is still Mark Ingram at 294 yards even though he was traded a month ago.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5) - The Chiefs blew out the Raiders the last time they played and the Raiders are also dealing with injurie to their best downfield target in Darren Waller not to mention that their backfield is banged up with injuries.  The Raiders have shown flashes of competence but ultimately have struggled since Jon Gruden's scandal emerged.  

Baltimore Ravens (-2.5) @ Cleveland Browns - The Ravens do seem to have the number of their division rival although the Browns have done a good job containing the Ravens in the last game.  The Ravens attempt to keep pace with the Patriots while the Browns keep what little chance they have for a postseason.  


Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Football Team(+4)-  Washington comes into this game having won 4 straight games.  Still, hard to determine how much of it is real or how much was padded by a relative easy portion of the schedule.   The Buccaneers are obviously a quality team but the same can't be said for the Panthers, Raiders, and Seattle.  Dallas has had some shaky losses this season, albeit a few of them due to CoVid protocol.  Still one would expect this game against their division rival to be close and perhaps Washington can come away with a split.  Ron Rivera is looking to improve his 4-1 record against Dallas, with two of those wins dating back to when he coached the Carolina Panthers.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+9.5) @ Tennessee Titans - The Titans are coming off a bye meaning they should likely pull out a win.  Still, it won't be the romping that one should expect if they had Derrick Henry in the lineup, although they should get a boost from Julio Jones returning from the injured reserve.  

Detroit Lions (+8) @ Denver Broncos - The Broncos are looking to follow the roamap of holding their opponents to under 20 points and completing a victory.   Still the Broncos have two blowout losses at home against the Eagles.  The Lions last 4 games have been decided by 3 points or less and are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6.   

New York Giants @ Los Angeles Chargers (-10.5)-  The Giants do get a few wide receivers back.  And the Chargers will be missing Keenan Allen.  Still, the Chargers should take care of business against the Giants.  

San Francisco 49ers (+1) @ Cincinnati Bengals-  This could be a good back and forth game.  With Deebo Samuels return to the lineup could ultimately give the 49ers the edge although one can't ignore the possibility of Burrows going ham.  Although the 49ers defense should be looking to redeem itself after a poor performance against Seattle.  

Buffalo Bills @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) - Is this a get right game for the Bills who really struggled due to the weather conditions?  Tom Brady may be motivated to put it on Bufalo given how tthe Pats just beat the Bills and Brady may want to prove something to his former team.   Tampa Bay's secondary may not be able to contain the Bills although the Bucs seem like an unstoppable force if Leonard Fournette can get it going like he did his Jacksonville days.


Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers(-12.5)- Green Bay's defense should feast on Justin Fields.  ONly thing that worries me is if the Packers don't play up to the potential.  Coming off a bye, the Packers should be able to contain 

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals (-3)- Very much a toss up game although I have the Cardinals has slight favorites to win given the Rams struggles as of late.  A win against Jacksonville still hasn't made me extremely confident that they have completely righted the ship.  They will also be without Darrell Henderson although Sony Michel did fill in admirably last week.  



 Week 13 against the Spread - 8-5

Week 13 Straight Up- 10-3

2021 Against the Spread- 93-96

2021 Straight Up- 115-78-1
2021 Locks - 9-5

2020 Against the Spread- 124-140-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 173-97-1
2020 Locks- 24-24-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 

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