Sunday, December 19, 2021

2021 Week 15 Picks


 Deebo Samuels is looking to become the first wide receiver
to lead his team in both receiving and rushing touchdowns

Dallas Cowboys (-10.5) @ New York Giants-  This game will likely go Dallas's way although it wouldn't surprise me if the Giants keep it close given that they won and covered the last 3 home games.  Granted those were with Daniel Jones and the Giants have not covered with Mike Glennon in the lineup.  Dallas is capable of repeating a blowout against the Giants here although they have failed to win by more than 10 points since that performance.  Still, the Cowboys are clearly a class ahead of anyone in the NFC East at the moment. 

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) - One should expect the Jaguars to get a bounce from firing Urban Myer or at the very least giving more touches to James Robinson for unexplained reason was in Myer's doghouse.  

Tennessee Titans @ Pittsburgh Steelers (+2)-  The Steelers let a golden opportunity slip away from them with a loss against the Vikings not to mention some poor clock management by Chase Claypool who celebrated a first down during the Steeler's final drive.  While the Titans do boast a good record it may be hard for them to repeat the same formula of running the ball against them and one would think the Steelers will have a bounce back performance.

Arizona Cardinals @ Detroit Lions (+13.5) -  The Cardinals seem like the much better team but the spread here is just a little too big for my liking.

New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins (-8.5)- The Dolphins appear to be rolling with Tua under center as he finally living up to his draft hype.  The Jets have had pretty big upsets in the past such as games against the Bengals and Titans but those typically seem to come at home.

Carolina Panthers @ Buffalo Bills (-10.5)  - The Panthers just appear to be in chaos lately with Cam Newton under center.  Buffalo appears to have righted the ship in their loss against the Bucs.

Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5) @ Denver Broncos - The Broncos have typically punished their opponents at home but the upside of Terry Bridgewater has me taking the Bengals in a straight up win here.

Green Bay Packers (-5) @ Baltimore Ravens - With Lamar Jackson likely out, the Packers will attempt to keep pace for a potential first round bye.

Atlanta Falcons @ San Francisco 49ers (-8.5) - The 49ers will look to back on track against the Falcons who are still playing for a playoff spot.  While I wouldn't rule out an upset, Kyle Shanahan may intend to run up the core on his former team that has struggled on the road.  

New Orleans Saints (+10.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Tom Brady is 0-3 against the Saints in the regular season - although Brady did beat the Saints in the playoffs.  And the last game came with Jameis Winston in the lineup.  Still, perhaps Taysom Hill and the Saints defense can do enough to keep this game in single digits.  

Las Vegas Raiders (+6) @ Cleveland Browns - Due to Covid absences for the Brown, the Raiders will have an opportunity to get an upset although without Waller, the Raiders are still not a great team.

Seattle Seahawks (+6.5) @ Los Angeles Rams - Due to the Covid absences for the Seattle one would expect the Seahawks to do enough to keep it close in a must win game for Seattle.

Washington Football Team @ Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5) (LOCK) - Given that Washington will not have any of their top 3 quarterbacks, one should expect the Eagles to roll against their division rival.  

Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) @ Chicago Bears - The Vikings appear to have righted the ship a bit and look to continue that against a Bears team which has actually found its offense the last few weeks.  

 Week 13 against the Spread - 9-5

Week 13 Straight Up- 10-4

2021 Against the Spread- 102-101

2021 Straight Up- 113-80-1
2021 Locks - 9-5

2020 Against the Spread- 124-140-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 173-97-1
2020 Locks- 24-24-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 


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