Sunday, November 28, 2021

2021 Week 12 Picks


 Stafford is banged up with back and elbow issues
as he goes to play Aaron Rodgers again at Lambeau


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5) @ Indianapolis Colts-  The Colts look to continue to run the ball to victory.  The Bucs have failed to cover in their last 4 road game, still they are one of the best rushing defenses in the NFL.  

New York Jets @ Houston Texans (-3)- The Texans are coming off a nice win against the Titans.  Their defense has been outplaying the Jets.

Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) @ New York Giants - If the Eagles can contain Barkley, they can go for their 3rd straight road win. 

Carolina Panthers @ Miami Dolphins (+2) - Miami may have trouble containing Christian McCaffrey.  Then again, Cam Newton did not look sharp against Washington last week.

Tennessee Titans @ New England Patriots (-5.5) - Without AJ Brown, it looks like the Patriots can do enough to slow down the Titans.

Pittsburgh Steelers(+3.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals - The Steelers look like they can do enough against the Bengals in a divisional game to keep it close especially with the Bengals offense struggling as of late.  

Atlanta Falcons (-1) @ Jacksonville Jaguars - With Patterson returning may give the Falcons a much better chance who haven't scored since he's been injured.  

Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5) @ Denver Broncos - The Broncos could do enough to keep it close but their defense doesn't seem the same since the Von Miller trade.

Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers (-1) - Given this is a must win game for both teams playing for a first round bye.  Even with the Rams coming off a bye, the Packers are slight favorites at home especially with Aaron Jones returning.

Minnesota Vikings (+3) @ San Francisco 49ers - Both teams are coming off nice wins although the 49ers' defense appears to be playing significantly better since coming off a bye.  Mike Shanahan goes against Kirk Cousins who he coached for a bit in Washington.   This game could be a close loss for the Vikings but Dalvin Cook also gives the Vikings the upside for a win.  

Cleveland Browns (+4) @ Baltimore Ravens - The Ravens should win although the line may not be accounting for the Browns getting back their very good offensive line.  While Lamar Jackson and Hollywood Brown return, their run game is still a bit muddled which could allow the Browns to stay close.

Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Football Team (+0.5)- Washington's defense has appeared to be play better.  The Seahawks defense has struggled against the run and they don't look like the same team without Chris Carson.  Russell Wilson in primetime against a Washington team that has struggled in prime time does give me pause but even so perhaps Washington can do enough to slow down this Seattle team to pull out a win.


Week 11 against the Spread - 5-8

Week 11 Straight Up- 7-6

Week 11 Locks - 1-0

2021 Against the Spread- 77-84
2021 Straight Up- 95-70-1
2021 Locks - 8-5

2020 Against the Spread- 124-140-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 173-97-1
2020 Locks- 24-24-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 

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