Thursday, September 27, 2018

Week 4 Thursday Night Pick

Italicized for win
Bolded for spread

Minnesota Vikings @ LA Rams (-7) - Right now it could be easy to overreact that the Rams will own the Vikings simply because of their loss to the Buffalo Bills.  Then again maybe there is a world where starting running back Dalvin Cook returning makes all the difference. Plus the Rams combined opponents' schedule is 1-8 whereas the Vikings combined opponents' record is 4-3-1.

Theoretically there is an argument that the Vikings could keep it close as the Rams are without two of their top cornerbacks and did manage to beat the Rams last season.  Even Kirk Cousins beat the Rams last season with the Redskins as he faced off against his former offensive coordinator.  I do think the Rams are better team offensively since that week 2 matchup and I expect Sean McVay to counter his former student. 

The last 13 teams that traveled two time zones and traveled 1500 or more miles are 1-12 against the spread.  Wade Phillips may devise a game plan to slow down the Vikings offense.

Week 3 Against the Spread: 8-7-1
Week 3 Straight up: 9-7
Week 3 Locks: 3-2-1

2018 Season against the Spread- 23-22-2
2018 Season Straight Up- 27-19-2
2018 Locks- 5-4-1

2017-18 Against the Spread- 221-225-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-10  

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