Thursday, September 20, 2018

Week 3 Thursday Night Pick

According to ESPN, Darnold has been preparing for
"Star Wars Blitzes".  I wonder what he thought of Solo: A Star Wars Story


Italicized for win
Bolded for spread

New York Jets (+3) @ Cleveland Browns - This is a somewhat compelling game between the two hapless franchises that have shown flashes of hope early in the season.  The Browns started the season with a dramatic tie against the Steelers and made last Sunday's game closer than most thought by holding the Saints offense to only 21 points.  The Jets took the Lions by surprise and in typical Jets fashion had a letdown at home against the Dolphins. 

Cleveland is a favorite in a football game for the first time since 2015.  The Browns defense theoretically is better than the Lions defense, who under Mike Patricia, could not contain the Jets.  Granted, the Jets' defense is probably the best defense the Browns have played this season. The Jets have won their last 3 games against the Brown and their last two games by three points each. 

This is clearly a game that could go either way but for now I am leaning on the Jets given that their loss came against a Dolphins team that has been playing well, while the Browns' opponents have yet to come up with a win against a non-Browns opponent. 

Week 2 Against the Spread: 6-10
Week 2 Straight Up- 7-8-1
Week 2 Locks - 1-1

2018 Season against the Spread- 15-5-2
2018 Season Straight Up- 18-12-2
2018 Locks- 2-2


2017-18 Against the Spread- 221-225-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-10

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