Sunday, October 9, 2022

2022 Week 5 Picks

 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills (-14) - The rookie Kenny Pickett makes his debut against the 4th best defense. Najee Harris is only averaging 3.5 yards per carry. Bills coming off a close win against the Ravens and look to take care of business at home against a young Steelers team.

Detroit Lions (+3) @ New England Patriots - Goff has been great this season but could struggle on the road.  Armon St. Brown is active while the Patriots are still without Jakobi Myers.   

Chicago Bears (+7) @ Minnesota Vikings - David Montgomery looks likely to come back against a Vikings team that has struggled lately.  Fields is only averaging around 8.5 completions per game.  

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets (+3) - Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle are both banged up as Terry Bridgewater fills in.  Jets look to take one against their division rival.


Los Angeles Rams @ Dallas Cowboys (+4.5) - Can Cooper Rush keep it going against the Rams defensive front?  Dallas will loo to slow down the Rams offense which hasn't gotten it going on the ground.  

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-7) - Jacksonville has struggled containing running backs this week but so have the Texans who have allowed a league worst 172 yards per week on the ground. 

Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-8.5) - Tight end Kyle Pitts is questionable. The Bucs are looking to make up for last week's blowout against the Chiefs. Chris Godwin is back in the lineup for Tampa while Julio Jones is out. Tom Brady is 10-0 against Atlanta in his career including that Super Bowl comeback. 

Tennessee Titans (+2.5) @ Washington Commanders- Commanders defensive line will have to play well against Derrick Henry; the Commanders have done well containing the run but are one of the worst passing defenses. Wentz will have to pick it up against a below average passing defense. 

Seattle Seahawks (+5.5) @ New Orleans Saints - The Saints defense has been good but Geno Smith  has been efficient for the Seattle. Michael Thomas is out along with Jameis Winston  

San Francisco 49ers (-6.5) @ Carolina Panthers -  The Panthers' defense has been solid lately and Trent Williams, the 49ers top offensive lineman, remains out.  Still, the 49ers were able to dominate last week without him.  

Philadelphia Eagles (-5) @ Arizona Cardinals - While the Eagles rush defense has not been efficient, the Cardinals pass defense has been even worse.  Plus the Eagles rush defense may not be all that bad as they contained James Robinson last week.  

Cincinnati Bengals (-3) @ Baltimore Ravens - This could be a high scoring game if last year is any indication.  The Ravens rush defense has been relatively high scoring 

Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs (-7) -  Patrick Mahomes did get on track vs the top rated Tampa defense last week.  Complacency could be an issue for the Chiefs as they failed to cover the last 2 weeks prior to that game against the Chargers and Colts- although the Raiders do look disappointing.


Week 3 Against the Spread - 8-7-1

Week 3 Straight Up - 11-5

2022 Against the spread - 32-31-1

2022 Straight up - 35-29

2021 Against the Spread- 151-127-1

2021 Straight Up- 162-101-1
2021 Locks - 10-5

2020 Against the Spread- 124-140-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 173-97-1
2020 Locks- 24-24-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 

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