Sunday, October 16, 2022

2022 NFL Week 6 Picks

San Francisco (-5.5) @ Atlanta Falcons - The Falcons are undefeated against the spread so far this season and last week they were without Kyle Pitts and Patterson.  This week the 49ers come to town coming off a whooping of Baker Mayfield.

New England Patriots (-3) @ Cleveland Browns-  Jacoby Brissett is coming off a nice win against the Chargers.  He goes against his former team where Coach Hoodie is expected to draw up an effective game plan after he slowed down Jared Goff and the Lions last week.


New York Jets (+7) @ Green Bay Packers-  The Packers haven't put away lesser opponents like the Giants and Jaguars and there are questions whether they can complete one against the Jets.  Of course, they can like they did against the Bears but the Jets are surprisingly frisky the last couple of weeks although they weren't challenged last week when the Dolphins lost Bridgewater to an injury.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+2) @ Indianapolis Colts- The Colts are coming off a surprise win against the Broncos, mostly due to Denver's ineptitude.   The Jaguars are coming off a surprising loss to the Texans.   The Colts will be motivated to put away the Jaguars after their week 2 loss although it is possible the Jaguars do match up well with the Colts.  Still, James Robinson has not really gotten going the last few weeks

Minnesota Vikings (-3) @ Miami Dolphins - The Vikings are 4-1 this season and go against former QB Terry Bridgewater.   One thing that is concerning is whether Bridgewater can finish the game as he exited the game with a concussion.   For some reason I like Minnesota here which means that somehow I'll be disappointed when Kirk Cousins has a typical inconsistent performance.

Cincinnati Bengals(-2) @ New Orleans Saints- Taysom Hill trick plays is what got it done against Seattle last week although the Bengals may be more equipped to slow down Hill considering they did a good job slowing Lamar Jackson last week.   


Baltimore Ravens (-5) @ New York Giants -  This is an interesting matchup where the Giants seem to be a well coached the Ravens sometimes can't get out of their own way especially since they are unable to get their running backs going such as JK Dobbins.   Their defense though did hold up surprisingly well against the Bengals although a no show from Tee Higgins may have contributed to that.   I expect Lamar to have a bounce back week and I'm not sure if the Giants can keep pace.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-8) @ Pittsburgh Steelers-  Not sure what happened in Tampa that even allowed the game to get that close that resulted in a controversial roughing the passing play that Tom Brady and the Bucs benefited from.  Either way, the Steelers line is especially low considering how anemic their offense has been especially since Najee Harris is only averaging 3 yards per carry.  Can Kenny Picket get it going?  Maybe but he'll have his work cut against this Bucs defense.

Carolina Panthers (+10.5) @ Los Angeles Rams- The Rams are due for a get right game against a team that just fired their head coach.  Although sometimes teams do play better when their head coach is fired so maybe the Panthers can cover here.

Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks (+3) -  The Cardinals blundered away an opportunity to get to overtime against the Philadelphia Eagles.  Their defense surprisingly held up well against the Eagles especially in the run game.  This game is a toss up especially since Seattle's offense has been clicking and Geno Smith looks better than Russell Wilson so far this season.  I think the Seahawks can actually put away the Cardinals, at least this version of the Cardinals without DeAndre Hopkins.

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs (+2) - Perhaps people think that the Bills are due for revenge although the Bills may not be as dominant as they were against the Steelers last week.  For now I'll take the Chiefs and the points especially since they are playing at home.

Dallas Cowboys (+5) @ Philadelphia Eagles -  Dallas's defense may be the toughest that Jalen Hurts has played all season.  I expect this game to be close although the Eagles pulling it out seems like the likely outcome.

Denver Broncos (+5) @ Los Angeles Chargers -  Both teams are coming off disappointing losses.  While Denver can't repeat the formula of running the ball like the Browns did the previous week especially without Javonte William, the defense can keep it close although the Chargers may pull it out eventually.


Week 4 Against the Spread - 7-8-1

Week 3 Straight Up - 11-5

2022 Against the spread - 39-39-2

2022 Straight up - 46-34

2021 Against the Spread- 151-127-1

2021 Straight Up- 162-101-1
2021 Locks - 10-5

2020 Against the Spread- 124-140-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 173-97-1
2020 Locks- 24-24-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 



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