Sunday, September 26, 2021

2021 Week 3 Picks

Giants are inducting Eli Manning into their Ring of Honor at halftime
Danny Dimes will try to honor him with a win

Indianapolis Colts (+5.5) @ Tennessee Titans - The Colts have actually beaten the Titans the last 2 road games.  The Colts desperately need to get their running game going but at least they will have Carson Wentz back.

Chicago Bears (+7.5) @ Cleveland Browns - Justin Fields makes his debut.   The Browns are banged up at receiver and the Bears defense did a good job slowing down the Bengals last week.

New Orleans Saints @ New England Patriots (-3) - This could be a low scoring game as the defenses could take over.  Perhaps the Patriots can do enough to confuse Winston and beat the Saints at home.

Arizona Cardinals (-7) @ Jacksonville Jaguars -  Trevor Lawrence has struggled; the Jaguars offense has not lived up to expectations.  The Cardinals have so many weapons that they should score at least 31 points for 3rd straight.

Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants (-3)(LOCK)-  The Giants actually looked pretty good against Washington albeit some questionable mental lapses.  Their defense may also be underrated.  The Falcons have struggled on the road.  

Los Angeles Chargers (+6.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs - The Chiefs have struggled in the regular season in their last several games and their defense is prone to mistakes as it is one of the youngest in the league.  Herbert could make this game close especially in a division game. 

Cincinnati Bengals (+4.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers - Both teams are missing their top receivers- Tee Higgins for the Bengals and Diontae Johnson for the Steelers.  These are two evenly matched teams although one has to figure the Steelers can pull it out at home.  That being said, Joe Burrows may be able to outplay Big Ben even with a shoddy offensive line.  

Baltimore Ravens @ Detroit Lions (+9.5) - Jared Goff needs to limit his mistakes to keep it close.  Otherwise it could be a long day for the Lions.  That being said, the Ravens are dealing with a lot of injuries especially in their secondary so the Lions can still put up points and Lamar Jackson is dealing with a non CoVid related illness.

Washington Football Team (+9) @ Buffalo Bills -  The Bills will likely take this game although Taylor Heinekie can do enough to keep it close, plus Washington's defense could do a better job on a longer week.  That being said, Emmanuel Sanders may have a big game plus Landon Collins defense on the run and the pass has not lived up the massive contract that Washington signed him to a few years ago.

New York Jets @ Denver Broncos (-11.5)(LOCK) - The Broncos look to take advantage of another below average opponent.  Wilson has struggled while the Broncos get their first home game of the year.  

Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders (-4) - Last year the Raiders lost to this Dolphins team.  That being said, Fitzpatrick was playing out of his mind at the time and at this moment the Raiders defense looks much more stout.

Seattle Seahawks (-1.5)(LOCK) @ Minnesota Vikings  - Russell Wilson has yet to lose the Minnesota Vikings his career and the Vikings will likely be without Dalvin Cook.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1) @ Los Angeles Rams - This could be a potential revenge game for Brady who may have indicated in HBO's The Shop that he wanted to play for the Rams but instead chose to keep Jared Goff.  Homefield advantage may also be negated given it's in Los Angeles.  Darrell Henderson is out.  The Bucs will probably have a game plan to take out Cooper Kupp.  

Green Bay Packers (+3.5) @ San Francisco 49ers - Both teams are dealing with injuries.  The Packers are onto their 3rd string left tackle.  The 49ers are starting Trey Sermon who didn't play week 1 and was concussed last week.  The 49ers with Jimmy G looked unimpressive against the Eagles until the Eagles suffered some injuries on the defensive front.  Aaron Rodgers looks to repeat his performance beating the 49ers on the road last year although in that game the 49ers were much more decimated with injuries

Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys (-4) - The Cowboys defense has looked much better than last season.  Something with the Eagles offense seemed off in the last game.   I'm not sure if the Eagles can keep up with the Cowboys if this game becomes a high scoring affair.  


2021 Against the Spread- 15-18
2021 Straight Up- 18-16
2021 Locks - 3-2

2020 Against the Spread- 124-140-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 173-97-1
2020 Locks- 24-24-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 

No comments: