Sunday, September 12, 2021

2021 Week 1 Picks

Kirk Cousins makes his debut for the 2021 season


Jacksonville (-3)
 @ Houston -  The Jaguars should do enough to pull ahead with the addition of Trevor Lawrence and a decent running game with James Robinson, who looks to remind everyone on how he was a great running back in his rookie season.  The Texans in the meantime have one of the worst rosters on paper yet do not have a single rookie on the team.  

Los Angele Chargers @ Washington Football Team (+1)- Los Angeles is traveling from West to East.  Fitzpatrick is streaky- that being said, he usually starts off the season hot.  Austin Eckler dealing with a hamstring injury could be enough for Washington to pull ahead.  Curtis Samuels is out but Dyami Brown could fill in the void along with Terry McClaurin and Logan Thomas.  Antonio Gibson could see a bigger role in this offense as well.  

Seattle Seahawks (-2.5) @ Indianapolis Colts - The Colts present a tough matchup as the Seahawks defense could struggle against the Colts offensive line and pretty solid.  Tt's hard to go against Russell Wilson and great receivers in DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.  Wentz may need time to adapt as he was dealing with an injury in preseason and he was also inconsistent with the Eagles.  

New York Jets @ Carolina Panthers (-4.5) -  The Jets face their former quarterback in Sam Darnold.  With Jamison Crowder out, look for the Panthers to get the edge especially with questions about the Jets backfield.   Although it will be interesting to see how Zach Wilson performs in his rookie debut.  

Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) @ Cincinatti Bengals - Kirk Cousins theoretically should light it up against a Bengals defense.  Joe Burrow's offensive line may be pretty weak.  Still, the Vikings defense was below average last season and the Bengals have a multitude of good receivers even if Jamar Chase has been shakiy in preseason.   Of course, Dalvin Cook should still do enough to separate the Vikings from the Bengals.

Arizona Cardinals (+3) @ Tennessee Titans -  Both teams have below average defenses last season.  The Titans have a better running game though and could do enough to pull out a win.  Julio Jones makes his debut with the Titans while  AJ Green makes his debut with the Cardinals.  Kyler Murray may be the difference in this game over his counterpart Ryan Tannehill.  

San Francisco 49ers (-7.5)(LOCK) @ Detroit Lions - The 49ers had a lot of injuries last season but have their full compliment of players and should take care of former division rival Jeared Goff.  DeAndre Swift is an excellent talent but could have his hands full against a pretty good 49ers defensive line, not to mention he was dealing with a groin injury in the offseason.   

Pittsburgh Steelers (+6.5) @ Buffalo Bills - This could be a high scoring game between Big Ben and Josh Allen slinging it out.  The Steelers defense is a long cry from when it was when it was dominant  so expect Buffalo to pull it out although it could be closer due to he lack of viable running backs that the Bills had last season.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Atlanta Falcons (-3.5) - This could be a high scoring game.  Kyle Pitts makes his debut and could be an interesting weapon.  Hurts could do enough to keep the Eagles going along with Sanders.   Matt Ryan still could get it going with Calvin Ridley and Mike Davis looks to show that he's a viable back at home.  Of course, the Falcons propensity to blow games is concerning although they have moved on from Dan Quinn as a head coach.

Cleveland Browns @ Kansas City Chiefs (-6) -  This game was pretty close last season down the stretch although I feel the Chiefs could do enough to win.  Plus Odell Beckham may be dealing with a nagging injury that made him questionable leading up to the week.  Of course the Browns avenue to keep it close is their running game.  That being said, the Chiefs will ook to rebound after their disappointing Super Bowl loss to the Bucs.  

Green Bay Packers (-3) @ New Orleans Saints -  The packers and Saints game could be close although given that the Saints may have had trouble filling out their rotster due to salary cap roles.  I would like to see Callaway do it before saying the Saints could win. 

Denver Broncos (-2.5) @ New York Giants - The Broncos full compliment of of weapons returns including Courland Sutton and Javonte Williams looks like an interesting addition interesting.  Is Squon 100%- do the Giants get a boost from their home crowd? For now, I will favor the Broncos as I rate Terry Bridgewater slightly ahead of Daniel Jones and the Broncos defense is better.  It may also take Barkley a couple of weeks to get going.  

Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (-3) - Two young Alabama quarterbacks go at it.  Right now I think Ta is a better player, although the Patriots typically do take care of their division rival at home. 

Chicago Bears @ Los Angeles Rams (-7)(LOCK) - The Rams should take care of the Bears. Stafford is familiar with the playing the Bears

Baltimore Ravens (-4.5) @ Las Vegas Raiders - The Ravens are on to their 4th running back.  I think the Ravens should beat the Raiders although this game could be closer as a result.  


2021 Week 1 Against the Spread- 0-1
2021 Week 1 Straight Up- 1-0

2020 Against the Spread- 124-140-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 173-97-1
2020 Locks- 24-24-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110

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