Sunday, October 20, 2019

Week 7 Picks

After last week win against the Eagles
Kirk Cousins is now 6-27
against teams with winning records

Italicized for win
Bolded for spread


Oakland Raiders @ Green Bay Packers (-4.5) – Aaron Rodgers receiving corp is decimated with Lazard as the apparent #1 receiver.  The Raiders are coming off a bye but will be missing one of their top targets in Tyrell Williams

LA Rams(-3) @ Atlanta Falcons - Goff could rebound but his offensive line has been playing.  Then again the Falcons defense have given up big weeks to DeShun Watson and Kyler Murray. Jalen Ramsey goes against Julio Jones.



San Francisco 49ers (-10) @ Washington Redskins -  Another potential home away from home game for a Redskins opponent.  The rainy weather should feature the 49ers running game.



Seattle Seahawks (-3) @ Baltimore Ravens - Russell Wilson looks to continue his MVP run against a poor Baltimore secondary

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills (-17) – Josh Allen could have a nice game coming off a bye.  Devin Singletary could return since week 2.  While Fitzmagic returned and beat the spread last week with the Dolphins, he could have a dud as the Bills will have time to prepare for the QB that once helmed their team.

Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions (+2.5) – Kirk Cousins has been heating heating up but the Vikings may go back to the ground with Dalvin COok. TJ Hockenson has been dropping TD passes almost every week but may finally get on track on this one.  

Houston Texans (+1) @ Indianpolis Colts- Jacoby Brissett is solid but DeShaun Watson is still the QB to beat.  Carlos Hyde has had 3 games with 15 straight touches.  Mack is averaging 20 carries per game and TY Hilton returns.  Adam Vinateri's miscues lead me to take the Texans in a close one.   

Jacksonville Jaguars (-4.5)(LOCK) @ Cincinnati Bengals - The Jaguars look to end their two game skid with some Minshew magic.  The Bengals have an opportunity to keep it close if Mixon can get it going after a poor showing last week where he was outsnapped by Giovani Bernard.

Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants (-3) - In this matchup with potential rookie of the years will be interesting.  While Murray has been outplaying Daniel Jones in the last few weeks aside from Jones great showing against the Bucs, look for him to potentially get back on track.  That being said, Murray has been interesting offensively especially with the revitalization of David Johnson and Chase Edmonds is an interesting running back.

LA Chargers (-2.5) @ Tennessee Titans-  The Titans may get a slight boost from Ryan Tannehill as Mariota really struggled over his last two starts against the Bills and Broncos.  The Chargers need to get Melvin Gordon or just admit he's a lost cause and go back to running the offense primarily through Eckler and now healthy tight end Hunter Henry.  It wouldn't hurt to get Keenan Allen involved who has struggled and so have the Chargers over this skid.



New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears (-3.5)-  The Bears are coming off a bye but the Saints keep winning with Bridgewater who still hasn't lost a game as a starter.  Surprisingly Bridgewater has been better.  Unfortunately for the Saints, Kamara is out is enough for me to change my mind since Latavius Murray is a clear downgrade.  



Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) - Both teams appear to be struggling a bit.  This should be a high scoring game as both teams secondaries are dismal.  I suspect the Cowboys will win because they will have Amari Cooper and homefield advantage while DeSean Jackson is still being held out.  That being said anything can happen in these rivalry matchups.

New England Patriots @ New York Jets (+9.5) - The Patriots are favored to win this game but perhaps not as large as the public would assume.  The Jets win against the Cowboys was a strong one and perhaps stronger than most Patriots wins.  Then again Darnold will be tested more agianst this Patriots defense like he was in the week 1 opener.  



Week 7 Against the Spread- 0-1
Week 7 Straight Up- 0-1

2019 Season Against the Spread- 46-44
2019 Season Straight Up- 56-40
2019 Locks - 5-5

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 

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