Sunday, October 6, 2019

Week 5 Picks

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) @ Carolina Panthers - In the battle of the two expansion teams of the early 1990s,  I am siding with Gardner Minshew.





New England Patriots (-15.5) @ Washington Redskins - The Redskins are going to go with Colt McCoy whose choices are limited with a banged up offensive line, although McCoy has beaten the Patriots when he was with the Browns.  Look for the Patriots to slow down Redskins whose defense looks to redeem itself after giving up its first TD of the season. 

Buffalo Bills (+3) @ Tennessee Titans- The last 3 matchups between these two teams have only been decided by one point.  Josh Allen returns meaning the Bills could come away with a win assuming they keep up their level of play that they did against the Pats.


Baltimore Ravens (+3.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers - JuJu Smith Schuster is questionable.  Look for the Ravens to bounce back.

Arizona Cardinals @ Cincinnati Bengals (-3) - Someone has to win their first game.  Cardinals and Bengals both play at fast paces and have poor defenses.  Auden Tate could have a big game with John Ross out for the Bengals.

Atlanta Falcons (+4) @ Houston Texans - This could be a close game with the Falcons playing in desperation mode.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) @ New Orleans Saints - Tampa Bay seems like playing like a team possessed with Winston connecting with Godwin and Evans.  That being said, the Bucs may be in for a gut punch if this comes down to field goal kicking.

Minnesota Vikings @ NY Giants (+5.5) - Kirk Cousins leads the league in the fumbles since 2015 with 46. 

Chicago Bears @ Oakland Raiders (+5.5) (London) - The Raiders can keep it close with backup Chase Daniels playing for the Bears although Khalil Mack looks to get revenge against the Raiders who traded him away.

New York Jets @ Philadelphia Eagles (-13.5) - Sam Darnold who has been out with mono is being held out with a vulnerable spleen.  Eagles having extra time to prepare for this game coming off a Thursday point makes it that much harder for the Jets.

Denver Broncos (+6.5) @ LA Chargers - Both teams are banged up with injuries.  There should be a lot of Denver Bronco fans in LA which should mitigate the Charger's homefield advantage.

Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) - With Davante Adams out for the Packers.  While Rodgers is 7-1 in the last 8 in this rivalry, but is only 10-24 in his last 34 road starts.

Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs (-11) - The Colts are going to be without two of their safeties meaning Mahomes could have a big game after being held without a touchdown last week.

Cleveland Browns @ San Francisco 49ers (-3.5)(LOCK) - Look for the 49ers to take advantage of the bye week in what should be a tough road game for the Browns.

2019 Season Against the Spread- 31-32
2019 Season Straight Up- 38-28
2019 Locks - 3-5

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110  

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