Sunday, October 13, 2019

Week 6 Picks


Kirk Cousins received a phone call from President Trump
 after last weeks win over the Giants,
 maybe Trump bet on the Vikings last week.


Italicized for win
Bolded for spread


Carolina Panthers (-2.5) @ Tampa Bay (London) – Christian McCaffery injured his back doing a back flip but should be fine after a great week against the Jaguars.  Jameis Winston could have a decent game with his explosive receivers as he is 2nd in the league with passing touchdowns although Carolina did a good job slowing the Bucs down in their first meeting due to their pass rush.  The Bucs also did a good job containing Christian McCaffery.  It feels like a healthy Kyle Allen could be enough to make a difference in this one instead of a banged up Cam Newton. Although the Panthers will have their hands full with the Bucs who haven't lost 2 consecutive games this season, the Panthers haven't lost since they inserted Kyle Allen in the lineup.  

Philadelphia Eagles(+3.5) @ Minnesota Vikings - This is Philadelphia's first game in Minnesota since they won the Super Bowl in 2018.

Houston Texans (+4.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs– .  Tyreek Hill may return but the Chiefs offensive line remains shaky and Mahomes has been banged up meaning that it could be a close game that could go either way.

Seattle Seahawks (-1.5)(LOCK) @ Cleveland Browns  – Russell Wilson has been hyper-efficient with 12 touchdowns, 0 interceptions, and a 72 percent completion percentage.  Browns looked pretty faulty against the run and are also going to be without their two of their cornerbacks which could mean another good passing game for Wilson.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens (-11) – Andrews is banged up.  Ravens have been merely an average defense due to injuries specifically to Jimmy Smiths and Bradley Chubbs and also lost some key pieces in free agency.  



New Orleans Saints(+1) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-1)-  With Kamara questionable, Minshew could be a due for a big week.  Even so, the Saints have been playing well with wins over the Cowboys and Bucs in consecutive weeks.  


Redskins  (-3.5) @ Dolphins – Case Keenum expected to play  Look for the Redksins to start McLaurin as he goes against a top corner in Howard. Redskins are averaging 14.5 points per game while the Dolphins are only averaging 6.5 points per game.  Lombardi has called the firing of Gruden akin to throwing a chair off of the Titanic.  

San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams (-3) - Rams in a tough spot in a must win game if they want to compete for a division title.  The 49ers dealing with injuries like the Rams.  Aaron Donald with seven sacks in his last four games against the 49ers.  

Atlanta Falcons @ Arizona Cardinals (+2.5) - Could be a high scoring game.  After last weeks Will Fuller's explosing, Falcons are dead least in passing defense.

Dallas Cowboys (-7) @ New York Jets – Sam Darnold first game back but the Cowboys are good in the passing game.  Maybe LeVeon Bell looks to repeat what Aaron Jones did although it seems unlikely with that offensive line.

Tennessee Titans @ Denver Broncos (-2.5) - Phillip Lindsay has been playing well with 4.7 per carry.  Mariota has struggled recently and it may not get easier in this road matchup.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Los Angeles Chargers (-6) - Devin Hodges makes his starting debut.  Even though this is essentially a road game for the Chargers, the Steelers appear to be too injury riddled.  Also look for Melvin Gordon to get going.  

Detroit Lions (+4) @ Green Bay Packers- Lions coming off a bye.  Rodgers has not been good other than a week 4 matchup although usually does enough against the division rival Lions to pull out a victory.  

Week 6 Against the Spread- 1-0
Week 6 Straight Up- 1-0

2019 Season Against the Spread- 39-38
2019 Season Straight Up- 47-36
2019 Locks - 4-5

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110  

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