Saturday, January 7, 2017

Wild Card Picks

My picks can also be found on the Sports on the Hill Podcast at the 1 hour 47 minute mark.

Jadeveon Clowney hopes to pressure the Raiders' offense 
who was just named to 2nd team All-Pro alongwith
linebacker Benardrick McKinney

Oakland @ Houston (-3.5) - ESPN is paying $100 million to air this game but could lose a total of $75 million because of the lack of ratings.  Brock Osweiler may be the best quarterback in the game but that's only because Oakland is starting their 3rd string quarterback Connor Cook.  Both teams run the ball well although the Texans defense on paper have the advantage.

Detroit @ Seattle (-8) -

Seattle could get a boost by signing Devin Hester to return both punts and kicks.

Despite losing to the Cardinals in week 16, the Seahawks are still 7-1 at home.  Matt Stafford has not looked the same since injuring his finger and the Lions will also have to overcome a season ending injury to Theo Riddick.  Plus Detroit come into the game losing their past 3 games, having an 0-5 record against playoff tams, and have not won a play game in 25 years.   While Seattle may have concerns about getting their offense going due injuries to their offensive line, the Seahawks play better at the home especially against non-divison opponents.



Big Ben struggled in 30-15 loss to the Dolphins in Week 6


Miami (+10.5) @ Pittsburgh - The Steelers could make up for a poor performance against the Dolphins, especially since Ben Roethlisberger is healthy.  Still, the Dolphins have won two games in cold weather against the Jets and Bills on the road in December to clinch a playoff birth.  The Steelers homefield advantage should carry them through but expect a game within single digits especially since Pittsburgh has had close games to close out the season against the Bengals and Ravens.

New York Giant (+5) @ Green Bay - The Giants defense has looked great this season and are priming up for another Super Bowl run.  That being said, the Packers offense are playing much better as they have won 6 consecutive games.  While the Packers homefield advantage should help them come away with a victory, Eli Manning has won 2 games in Lambeau and gone on to win Super Bowls both times, meaning it could be decided by a field goal or less.  

Week 17 against the Spread: 7-9
Week 17 Straight Up: 10-6
2016-17 Season: 135-111-7
Straight Up(since week 9): 91-45

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