Sunday, January 22, 2017

Conference Championship Picks









Green Bay (+6) @ Atlanta-

Aaron Rodgers is 5 for 8 on passes over 30
yards in the final minute of play.  The rest of the league is 4 of 44.


I have the Falcons winning.  Nonetheless, Aaron Rodgers has been very sharp and could keep it close in what should be a high scoring affair..

The Packers defense had its moments against Dak Prescott forcing a few interceptions.  That being said, Matt Ryan and Julio Jones look to exploit the Packers' secondary plus the Facons' running game is also strong.  

While the Falcons will have their hands full with Aaron Rodgers, Atlanta's defense was solid against Seattle.  After giving up a game opening TD drive, the Falcons defense settled in and forced a few interceptions and a safety.  Overall, Atlanta's defense should also receive a boost from being at home in what will be the final game at the Georgia Dome.

Pittsburgh @ New England (-6)-



The Patriots are now 15-0 with Dion Lewis in the lineup and look to continue that trend versus the Steelers.  Big Ben did struggle especially in the red zone versus the Chiefs and the Steelers' defense did show that they were vulnerable to the deep ball against the Chiefs.  While Alex Smith was unable to take advantage due to a few inaccurate throws and key drops, that should not be the case for Tom Brady.  The Patriots lack of a pass rush is a concern and their strength of schedule throughout the season has been fairly weak.  Still, these are the games that New England typically wins which are at home and against Pittsburgh in what has largely been a one side rivalry since Tom Brady has joined the Patriots.

My picks can also be found on the Sports on the Hill Podcast at the 1 hour 30 minute mark.

 Division Picks against the spread: 3-1
Wild Card Picks straight up: 4-0
2016-17 Season: 140-114-7
Straight up(since week 9)- 99-45



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