Sunday, December 17, 2023

2023 Week 15 NFL Picks


Andy Reid was fined $100,000 for criticizing the officials while 
Mahomes was fined for $50,00 for unsportmanlike conduct during the 
4th quarter of Sunday's game at Buffalo, according to Adam Schefter

New York Giants (+6) @ New Orleans Saints - Tommy Devito has been playing well.  The Saints might be able to slow him down although Devito's magical run could continue.  The Saints offense has been inconsistent at times so perhaps the Giants can keep it closer.

Chicago Bears @ Cleveland Browns (-3.5)- The Browns defense looked very good last week - Flaco threw for over 300 yards.  THe Bears looked very good against the Lions.  Although Fiels hasn't played particularily well at home.  Plus the Browns are still playing for a playoff spot.  

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers (+3) - There is a chance for the Falcons to breakout against a division rival at home although the Panthers have been held for under 20 points in their last 20 games meaning the Falcons could take care of business on the road.  

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Green Bay Packers (-3.5) - Both teams are still alive for the playoffs despite slow starts.  The Packers could rebound at home given Tampa's defense is not as strong as the Giatns.  

Kansas City Chiefs @ New England Patriots (+9.5) - The Patriots are last in points per game although they did put up 21 points with Bailey Zappe under center against the Steelers.  Perhaps the Patriots can contain the Chiefs offense who haven't allowed more than 215 yards in their last 4 games. 

New York Jets (+6) @ Miami Dolphins - Zach Wilson had a great game last week but Dolphins have had the Jets number this season.  The Jets put up 30 points last week.  Tyreek Hill is out although the big reason why the Jets lost last time around was that they couldn't slow down the Dolphins running game.

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans (-2.5) - It looks like CJ Stroud is out with a lot offensive weapons injured so the Titans could end up continuing the momentum they have from beating the Dolphins last week.  '

San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals (+13) - The 49ers have won 5 games in a row go against one of the worst rushing teams in the NFL.  Kyler Murray is coming off a win in his last outing and the Cardinals are coming off a bye but it still looks like 49ers will continue to win.  

Washington Commanders @ Los Angeles Rams (6.5) (LOCK)- The Rams in a loss put up the most points against the Ravens this season.  The Rams have several offensive weapons while the Commanders defense has taken a step back since trading away Sweat and Young.   The Commanders' offense has the worst passing yards, worst passing ratings, worst in points per game, and worst per yards per game.  

Dallas Cowboys (+2.5) @ Buffalo Bills - The Bills are trying to keep their playoff hopes alive while the Cowboys are chasing the Eagles for the division title.  Prescott has only 2 interceptions for the seasons and hasn't thrown a pick in his last 4 games.  

Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars - The Ravens should be in line for another win although their defense did look shaky at times against the Rams.  Still, the Jaguars offense is not as dynamic as the Ravens especially if Lawrence is not 100%.  

Philadelphia Eagles (-3) @ Seattle Seahawks- Both bird teams are on losing streaks primarily due to their struggling defenses.  Although Geno Smith is questionable for the game which means Drew Locke could play.  The Seahawks have the receivers that could challenge the Eagles secondary.  Still, it seems unlikely that the Eagles will be held for under 20 points for the 3rd consecutive week.  


Week 14 Against the Spread 7-7-1

Week 14 Locks - 0-2

Week 14 Straight up - 3-12

Week 15 Against the Spread - 2-2

Week 15 Straight up - 3-1

2023 Against the Spread - 99-93-1

2023 Locks - 22-12

2023 Straight Up - 127-80

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