Sunday, December 3, 2023

2023 Week 13 NFL Picks

Joe Flacco's career continues.


Indianapolis Colts (-1) @ Tennessee Titans  -  The Colts he taken a bit of a hit with he injury to Jonathan Taylor although perhaps Zach Moss can fill in the short term.   Will Levis looks like a competent quarterback although he struggled in the second half against the Panthers.  

Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints (+4) -  Both these teams have inconsistent quarterback play.   Goff has been more consistent this season than Carr but he was truly awful against the Packers due to lack of protection.  Perhaps the Saints homefield can keep the Saints in this game but they also have a turnover problem that could prevent them from winning the game. 

Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots (+6.5)-  Both teams are coming off close losses although of different caliber of opponents.  While the Chargers have to deal with the jet lag, the Patriots offense looks anemic although the Chargers offense didn't look much better against the Ravens.  

Atlanta Falcons @ New York Jets (+2.5)-  Bijan Robinson looked excellent last week against the Saints.  The Jets might keep it close if they can slow down Desmond Ridder although he has played well against the Saints last week.

Arizona Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5) -  Murry looed sloppy against the Rams last week.  His defense didn't help either as Kyren Williams went off. I expect Harris and Warren to have good games even if Kyler Murray has a good game, it may be too much for the Cardinals.

Miami Dolphins (-9.5)(LOCK) @ Washington Commanders- The Commanders have fired their defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio but with a lack of a pass rush, it could be a long day against the Dolphins.

Denver Broncos (+3.5)(LOCK) @ Houston Texans - These two teams are playing extremely well.  Stroud still might make a rookie mistake but he does come up with big plays.  Still, the Broncos looked like a well oiled machine with their defense playing well, a good running game, and Russell Wilson looks like he's back to playing well.

Carolina Panthers (+5.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - This game could be closer than anticipated since its a division game, but it looks like Tampa is operating better at the quarterback position.  Although maybe the Panthers will get a boost from firing their head coach.

Cleveland Browns @ Los Angeles Rams (-3.5)  - The Rams are starting to look like a complete team again since it is getting back a lot of injured pieces like Matthew Stafford and Kyren Williams.  The Browns passing game looks like a work in progress with DeShaun Waton out although Joe Flacco could be an upgrade.

San Francisco 49ers @ Philadelphia Eagles (+2)-  The Eagles have had a couple of nail biters against quality opponents including the Chiefs and Bills.   The 49ers appear to be a more complete team than both of the. Although Purdy is significantly worse than Allen or Mahomes, perhaps the weapons of the 49ers of McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, and George Kittle can make this another compelling game.  

Kansas City Chiefs @ Green Bay Packers (+6.5)-  The Packers got it going against the Lions last week although the Chiefs defense may be underrated and should probably do enough to contain the Packers.  But it will be interesting to see if guys like Watson and Dillon can have back to back good weeks.  

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals (+8.5) - The Bengals offense really struggled against the Steelers but still it was a close game.  The Jaguars could have a better showing although they sometimes play down to the level of their competition.  


Week 12 Against the Spread - 7-7-1

Week 12 Straight up – 9-6

Week 12 Locks - 3-0

Week 13 Against the Spread 0-1

Week 13 Straight up - 1-0 

2023 Against the Spread - 84-79

2023 Locks - 21-9

2023 Straight Up - 116-60

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