Sunday, October 10, 2021

2021 Week 5 Picks


Justin Fields' response to a reporter asking him about how he feels about being the Bears' franchise QB for the next 10-15 years:
"I don't even know if we're going to be on this Earth for the next 10-15 years"


New York Jets(+2.5) @ Atlanta Falcons -  The Falcons already beat the Giants in New York so perhaps they can complete the New York sweep at London.  Still, the Falcons may end up losing being without Calvin Ridley and Justin Gage.  

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings(-7.5) -  This could be a closer game depending on how healthy Dalvin Cook is.  Plus the Lions did give the Ravens quite the scare a few weeks ago.  Still, Goff could struggle on the road

New Orleans Saints @ Washington Football Team (+1.5) -  New Orleans appears to a team that plays to the level of their competition.  This Washington team has shown no propensity to stop anyone although they have put up points even when they were blown out.  The Saints offense has also been underwhelming.  With two evenly matched teams, Washington perhaps can do enough to pull out a win.

New England Patriots (-9) @ Houston Texans -  The Patriots showed all the fireworks against the Bucs and almost pulled off an upset.  For now the Texans are the team to bet against because of their defense.  That being said, the Pats offense hasn't been that good and the Texans defense is actually solid.

Miami Dolphins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-10) - Brady usually doesn't have two poor weeks in a row although perhaps the upside of the Bucs is limited without Gronkowski.

Green Bay Packers @ Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) - Perhaps Rodgers is tested more so on the road as he was in week 1.  Of course the Packers did pull off a nice win against the 49ers but perhaps the pubic is underestimating the Bengals who are 3-1 against the spread this season.

Denver Broncos @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-1) -  The Broncos are a hit or miss team.  They clearly couldn't take care of business against a Ravens team although they might be a better team, the Steelers may play with more desperation given that they are in a must win situation and they are at home.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Carolina (-4) - Like Philadelphia, Carolina was beaten up badly by Dallas.  Still, the Panthers have 3 wins to show for it, whereas the Eagles beat the lowly Falcons.

Chicago Bears @ Las Vegas Raiders (-4.5) -  Justin Fields looked a lot better than his debut.  Then again it was against a below average Lions team.  

Tennessee Titans(-4) @ Jacksonville Jaguars- The Jaguars seemed to unlock James Robinson.  Still, the Titans are getting back AJ Brown will likely lead for them to get both sides of the ball stretched out.

San Francisco 49ers (+5.5) @ Arizona Cardinals - The Cardinals just wiped the floor with the Rams despite being 6.5 point favorites.  In the meantime, the 49ers season looks pretty bad.  Strange things happen in division games though plus Trey Lance makes his starting debut who already looks prety explosive.

New York Giants (+7) @ Dallas Cowboys - Dallas has steamrolled everyone since week 1.  The Giants are coming off a nice in against the Saints although clearly Vegas is expecting a let down by the Giants.  I think the Giants can keep it close that's assuming Daniel Jones shows up and doesn't alay an egg like he did against the Falcons.  

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) -  The Bills return to where they were eliminated in the conference championship.  The air of invincibility hast appeared to worn off with the Chiefs and the Bills appear to have found an extra edge with Emmanuel Sanders.  Still, it is a home game for the Chiefs and perhaps they get up for this game with the top spot on the conference on the line.  

Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens (-7)- The Ravens managed to bungle the last Monday night game against the Raiders.  Still the Colts with Wentz appear to problematic.  

Week 4 against the Spread - 8-8

Week 4 Straight Up- 9-7

2021 Against the Spread- 32-33
2021 Straight Up- 37-29
2021 Locks - 4-4

2020 Against the Spread- 124-140-6
2020 Week Straight Up - 173-97-1
2020 Locks- 24-24-2

2019 Season Against the Spread- 128-113-3
2019 Season Straight Up- 158-103
2019 Locks - 21-19-2
2020 Postseason against the Spread- 8-3
2020 Postseason Straight Up- 7-4


2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7
2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 

No comments: