Sunday, November 17, 2019

Week 11 Picks

Lamar Jackson and DeShaun Watson faceoff for off
for the first time since their 2016 Louisville-Clemson showdown



Dallas Cowboys (-3)(LOCK) @ Detroit Lions - Stafford looks like he is going to miss his second straight game.  While the Cowboys are still inconsistent, they may be desperate to come away with a win after a loss to the Vikings.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+2.5) @ Indianapolis Colts  - Jacoby Brissett is coming back from an injury from last week while Nick Foles returns from an injury from week one.  The Colts are not going to be as explosive without wideout T.Y. Hilton.

Denver Broncos (+10.5) @ Minnesota Vikings - The Broncos defense under Nick Fangio could do enough to keep it close.  The crowd noise with Brandon Allen could be concerning.  Tight End Noah Fant has been seeing a much bigger role in the offense with the departure of Emmanuel Sanders.



Houston Texans (+4.5) @ Baltimore Ravens - This matchup features two of the best young quarterbacks in DeShaun Watson and Lamar Jackson.  The Texans defense appears to be playing well enough without JJ Watt to keep it close.

New York Jets (+1) @ Washington Redskins - This game could be low scoring given the nature of the Redskins running offense which doesn't seem produce touchdowns and continues to run the ball even with large deficits.  The Jets' defense has been pretty bad against the pass recently meaning wide receiver Terry McLaurin could have a big week.  That being said, the Jets with Sam Darnold seemed to have found a rhythm against the Giants

Atlanta Falcons (+5.5) @ Carolina Panthers- The Falcons seem to have a had a resurgence on defense that may lead for them to keep it close.  Still, Austin Hooper, the top tight end for the Falcons is out.  Look for Calvin Ridley to see a bigger role in the offense.


Buffalo Bills (-6.5) @ Miami Dolphins  - Fitzpatrick has been playing well plus the Bills have been struggling on the road.  The Dolphins putting up a 3 game winning streak odds are lower given the poor output of running back Kalen Ballage.

New Orleans Saints (-5.5) @ Tampa Bay Bucaneers - The Saints will be without Lattimore who shut down Mike Evans in week one.  Drew Brees should still have a big week who usually bounces back from poor performances.

Arizona Cardinals(+10.5) @ San Francisco 49ers - The 49ers defense has been legit except so far against Kyler Murray where the Cardinals only loss by 3 points a few weeks ago to the 49ers.

New England Patriots (-3.5)(LOCK) @ Philadelphia Eagles - The Eagles may have had a good chance to complete the upset but are going to be without Jordan Howard.  The Eagles secondary has been struggling so Julian Edelman and Mohamed Sanu could have good games.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Oakland Raiders (-10.5)LOCK - Look for the Raiders offensive weapons including Derek Carr, Josh Jacobs, and Darren Waller to have big weeks against a hapless Bengals defense.

Chicago Bears @ Los Angeles Rams(-6.5) - Two struggling quarterbacks  go at it.  The Los Angeles Rams injuries have created a bad offensive line situation.  Jared Goff could not find Cooper Kupp for a single pass completion last week.  That being said, the Bears have put together pretty poor efforts plus David Montgomerry could be out.

Kansas Chiefs (-4.5) @ Los Angeles Chargers - The Chiefs look to rebound after a tough loss to the Titans.  The Chargers could take advantage of the Chiefs poor running defense, then again Phillip Rivers looked shaky against the Raiders defense which cold be troublesome if this become a high scoring shootout.


Week 11 Picks Against the Spread- 0-1
Week 11 Straight Up-  0-1

2019 Season Against the Spread- 70-74
2019 Season Straight Up- 81-61
2019 Locks - 9-8

2018 Season against the Spread- 112-107-7
2018 Season Straight Up- 137-86-2
2018 Locks- 21-16-2

2017-18 Against the Spread- 121-125-7

2017-18 Season Straight Up - 167-92

2016-17 Against the Spread - 141-115-7
2016-17 Straight Up - 101-41

2015-16 Against the Spread - 140-110 


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